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                                                                                                  business Wednesday 4 november 2020
            Scaled-back Thanksgiving plans leave turkey farmers in limbo




            By DEE-ANN DURBIN                                                                                                   capita consumption of tur-
             AP Business Writer                                                                                                 key  nearly  doubled  over
            For  the  turkey  industry,  this                                                                                   the  1980s,  peaking  at  14.4
            Thanksgiving  is  a  guessing                                                                                       pounds per person in 1996,
            game.                                                                                                               according to Mark Jordan,
            Millions  of  Americans  are                                                                                        executive  director  of  LEAP
            expected  to  have  scaled-                                                                                         Market  Analytics  in  Jones-
            down  celebrations  amid                                                                                            boro, Arkansas.
            the pandemic, heeding of-                                                                                           But  interest  in  turkey  has
            ficial warnings against trav-                                                                                       been steadily falling, thanks
            el  and  large  indoor  gath-                                                                                       in  part  to  price  increases
            erings.  That  leaves  anxious                                                                                      five years ago when flocks
            turkey farmers and grocers                                                                                          were hit by bird flu. Annual
            scrambling to predict what                                                                                          consumption is now around
            people  will  want  on  their                                                                                       12 pounds, Jordan said.
            holiday tables.                                                                                                     Turkey  sales  have  even
            Kroger — the nation's larg-                                                                                         been  falling  at  Thanksgiv-
            est  grocery  chain  —  said                                                                                        ing  as  consumers  explore
            its  research  shows  43%                                                                                           alternatives,  according  to
            of  shoppers  plan  to  cel-                                                                                        Nielsen  data.  Last  Novem-
            ebrate  Thanksgiving  only                                                                                          ber, Americans spent $643
            with  those  in  their  immedi-                                                                                     million  on  turkey,  down
            ate  household.  It  has  pur-  Turkeys are shown in a pen at Root Down Farm in Pescadero, Calif., Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2020.   3.5%  from  the  previous
            chased  more  turkeys  than                                                                        Associated Press  year. They spent $1.9 billion
            usual — in all sizes — but it's                                                                                     on beef, which was up 4%.
            also predicting an increase  they  think  customers  will  ing that still happens," Boies  more leftovers."         And  they  spent  $12  million
            in  demand  for  alterna-    be looking for. Dede Boies  said.                         Nancy  Johnson  Horn  of  — or more than double the
            tives,  including  ham,  pork  raises  heritage  breed  tur-  Butterball — which typically  Queens,  New  York,  usually  prior year — on alternatives
            roast  and  seafood.  Kroger  keys at Root Down Farm in  sells  30%  of  America's  40  shares a big turkey with her  like plant-based meat.
            also  expects  to  see  more  Pescadero,  California.  The  million Thanksgiving turkeys  in-laws, her parents and her  Jordan  thinks  the  uncer-
            demand  for  plant-based  turkeys she sells for Thanks-   — said it's expecting more  own family of five. But Horn,  tainty  about  Thanksgiving
            meats,  like  a  vegan  roast  giving were born in May, so  gatherings, but it's not con-  who writes The Mama Ma-  demand will hurt groceries
            stuffed  with  mushrooms  she has spent months think-     vinced  people  will  want  ven blog, said that gather-   hardest.  If  they  discount
            and squash.                  ing about how the corona-    smaller turkeys. Its research  ing won't happen this year  turkeys, they can sell them
            It's not always easy to pivot.  virus might impact the holi-  shows that 75% of consum-  because  her  kids  are  at-  but it will hurt profits. If they
            Angela  Wilson,  the  owner  days.                        ers plan to serve the same  tending  school  in-person  keep prices high and con-
            of  Avedano's  Holly  Park  Boies  decided  to  harvest  size turkey or a larger turkey  and  she  is  worried  about  sumers pass, they'll be stuck
            Market in San Francisco, or-  some turkeys early this year.  than they did last year.  spreading the virus.         with a lot of turkeys.
            dered  turkeys  last  year  for  It's a gamble, because the  Butterball  says  about  half  "As  much  as  it  hurts  me,  I  "I don't see many ways that
            this Thanksgiving. She can't  birds  gain  a  lot  of  fat  and  its turkeys will be in the 10-  will  have  to  cook  myself  they  win  this  holiday  sea-
            cancel the order, so they're  flavor  in  their  final  few  16  lb.  range  and  half  will  this  year,"  she  said.  She's  son," Jordan said.
            still coming in.             weeks, but she figures cus-  be  in  the  16-24  lb.  range,  not sure what will be on the  The  uncertainty  may  well
            But Wilson said this Thanks-  tomers  will  want  smaller  the same as usual. Anyone  menu.  She's  only  cooked  see  a  repeat  at  Christmas
            giving might be busier than  birds.  She's  also  offering  looking  for  a  specific  size  a whole turkey once in her  — both in the U.S. and be-
            in the past, since customers  more chickens and ducks.    should  plan  to  shop  early,  life  and  she's  never  made  yond.
            who usually go out of town  "We've  invested  so  much  said  Rebecca  Welch,  se-     mashed potatoes.             Christmas turkeys are a sta-
            will be staying home. She's  time and energy and love  nior  brand  manager  for  This  Thanksgiving  comes  ple  in  Britain,  where  turkey
            also stocking up on smaller  into  these  birds,  and  the  seasonal at Butterball.    at  an  already  tenuous  farmers  are  also  bracing
            birds  like  quail  and  game  whole point is that they go  "Don't be afraid to go big,"  time  for  the  $4.3  billion  for  slimmed-down  festivi-
            hen.                         and  they  are  celebrated  she said. "It's just as easy to  U.S.  turkey  industry.  Thanks  ties  after  the  government
            Some  farmers  are  mak-     with people for these great  cook a large turkey as it is  to  better  technology  for  told people not to meet in
            ing tweaks based on what  meals. We're just really hop-   a smaller one, and it means  carving  breast  meat,  per  groups of more than six.q
            KLM pilots agree to pay cuts to secure bailout for airline




            THE  HAGUE,  Netherlands  amid  the  pandemic.  The  stra  said  after  the  pilots
            (AP)  —  Pilots  with  Dutch  package is made up of a 1  committed to the cuts.
            national airline KLM agreed  billion-euro loan and 2.4 bil-    KLM  said  in  a  statement
            Tuesday  to  accept  pay  lion euros in guarantees for  Tuesday  that  the  pilot's  la-
            cuts for as long as the carri-  bank loans.               bor  union  had  joined  sev-
            er needs a multibillion euro  On  Saturday,  Dutch  Fi-   en  other  unions  in  signing
            government      coronavirus  nance     Minister   Wopke  a  so-called  "commitment
            bailout,  the  pilots  union  Hoekstra  said  he  was  halt-  clause" on pay cuts.
            and KLM announced.           ing  the  state  aid  because  Hoekstra said that clearing
            The  decision  clears  the  not all of KLM's 30,000 staff  the  way  for  the  govern-
            way for the government to  had committed to accept  ment  aid  was  "an  impor-
            agree  to  free  up  the  next  pay cuts for the duration of  tant step," but warned that
            instalment  of  a  3.4  billion-  the  aid  package,  expect-  the aviation sector still fac-
            euro  ($3.96  billion)  lifeline  ed to be five years.    es turbulent times amid the   In  this  Sept.  30,  2003  file  photo,  an  Air  France  jumbo  jet  rolls
                                                                                                   behind the tail of a KLM Royal Dutch airliner at Charles de Gaulle
            to  help  KLM  survive  the  "It's  good  that  this  hurdle  global pandemic.q        airport in Roissy, north of Paris.
            sharp downturn in air travel  has  been  cleared,"  Hoek-                                                                       Associated Press
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