Page 22 - Nile Explorer Issue 006
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The official justification for the military   Support for Jubaland       In  2011,  he  struck  another  deal,  this
       intervention  was  the  pursuit  of   Alongside  the  military  intervention,   time  with  Nairobi,  and  the  following
       al-Shabab  members  who  allegedly   Kenya  has  also  involved  itself  in  the   year,  his  militia,  backed  by  Kenyan
       abducted  aid  workers  in  northern   maelstrom of Somali domestic politics.  troops,  managed  to  expel  al-Shabab
       Kenya and kidnapped tourists along the                                   from Jubaland's capital, Kismayo, which
       coast.                              Its  principal  vehicle  of  involvement  in   is also a strategic port city.
                                           Somalia  is  Sheikh  Ahmed  Mohamed
       The intervention has since degenerated   Islam,  also  known  as  Madobe,  an   Over  the  next  two  years,  Madobe
       into an occupation. Currently, there are   Islamist  militia  commander  from  the   presided over clan reconciliation and in
       more  than  3,600  Kenyan  troops  in   Somali Ogaden clan.              2015,  with  Kenyan  backing,  he  was
       Somalia,  primarily  deployed  in  the                                   elected  president  of  Jubaland.  In  the
       semi-autonomous  southern  Somali   Madobe is seen as a rather controversial   2019  presidential  election  in  the
       region of Jubaland.                 figure, having switched sides in Soma-  semi-autonomous  state,  Nairobi  again
                                           lia's  civil  war  multiple  times.  He  was   supported his candidacy, despite the fact
       Over  the  past  eight  years,  the  Kenyan   part  of  various  Islamist  armed  groups   that the Somali government opposed it.
       forces have been accused of committing   since the 1990s. He has fought against
       various human rights violations against   the government in Mogadishu as an ally   Kenya's  backing  for  Madobe  has
       civilians  and  being  involved  in  illicit   of al-Shabab for years and was involved   revealed that all along it was not only
       smuggling  activities.  The  Somali   with militants seen as supportive of the   interested in containing al-Shabab, but
       government has demanded that Kenyan   Ogaden  National  Liberation  Front   in  establishing  a  "sphere  of  influence"
       troops leave, but it has not followed up   (ONLF),  a  separatist  group  who  has   through  Jubaland  -  a  satellite  statelet,
       with  any  serious  effort  to  expel  them,   fought for Somali self-determination in   remote-controlled from Nairobi.
       given  its  own  limited  capacity  to   eastern Ethiopia.
       provide security.                                                        This  misguided  support  for  Jubaland,
                                           In  2007,  a  year  after  Ethiopia  sent   however,  is  something  anyone  with  a
       At the same time, the Kenyan military   troops  to  Somalia  to  back  the  TFG   basic understanding of the dynamic in
       presence has done little to secure Kenya   against the Islamist insurgency, Madobe   the  Horn  of  Africa  would  have  coun-
       from  al-Shabab's  attacks  or  Somalia   was hit by a US bombing and captured   selled  against.  For  the  fragile  govern-
       itself  for  that  matter.  In  fact,  violence   by  the  Ethiopians,  who  offered  him  a   ment in Mogadishu, the strengthening
       has escalated since the intervention.   political  deal.  He  accepted  to  join  the   of Jubaland means the weakening of its
                                           TFG  in  2009,  but  shortly  after  he   powers.
       Kenya  has  witnessed  a  number  of   deserted his new post and with his Ras
       large-scale  al-Shabab  operations,  like   Kamboni  militia  joined  al-Shabab  in   For Ethiopia, Kenya's interference in a
       the ones in Westgate Mall in 2013, and   their  fight  against  government  and   region predominantly populated by the
       the  Garissa  University  in  2015,  which   African Union troops.
       took the lives of hundreds of civilians, as
       well  as  numerous  low-grade  and  low
       casualty ones.

       Since  October,  there  have  been  on
       average  two  al-Shabab  attacks  every
       week in Kenya and Somalia. In the first
       half  of  this  month  alone,  the  armed
       group  raided  a  military  camp  used  by
       Kenyan  and  US  soldiers  in  southern
       Kenya  and  then  launched  four  other
       attacks, killing 10 civilians.

       The  intervention  has  revealed  the
       underbelly of Kenya's security policy, its
       failed military strategy and the inability
       to police its own borders.



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