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The Growth of Competence                 187

            the learner’s current version of the strategy-to-be-learned. only a few opera-
            tions, irregularly distributed across time, revise the rules. in one analysis, Kurt
            Van Lehn identified 11 strategy changes in a problem-solving effort that lasted
                                                       27
            20 minutes, a rate of 1 learning event per 2 minutes.  A single learning event
            might take between 1 second and 1 minute. Each learning event tweaks the
            current version of the relevant skill, but the magnitude of the change is small.
            observable effects on the time to solution, the probability of error and other
            aspects of behavior are cumulative consequences of many minor changes in
            the underlying strategy. The rate of change during a practice period is a func-
            tion of the density of learning events, and the latter depends on the task envi-
            ronment, the difficulty of the target task, the learner’s current level of mastery
            and other factors.
               The central theoretical task is to specify the number and nature of the
            learning mechanisms. The growth of a cognitive skill is a complex type of
            change and it is highly unlikely that it is due to a single mechanism. For exam-
            ple, learning from instruction is quite different from learning in the course
            of independent practice, and learning by adapting an already mastered skill
            to  a  new  task  is  obviously  a  different  process  from  learning  from  error.  A
            successful skill acquisition theory needs to postulate a repertoire of distinct
            learning mechanisms, or modes of plasticity in neuroscience terminology. For
            ease of reference, i call this the Multiple Mechanisms Principle. The question is
            how large a repertoire to expect. if not a single mechanism, then how many?
            intuition rebels against the thought that there are a hundred distinct ways in
            which practical knowledge can change. More than 1, but less than a 100; so 10
            appears to be the right order of magnitude. As it turns out, most skill acquisi-
            tion theories proposed over the last century are indeed multimechanism theo-
            ries with less than 10 distinct mechanisms. The complexity of the hypothesized
            mechanisms and the rigor with which they are specified have increased over
            time.


                                   A Century of progress
            The  beginning  of  systematic  research  on  the  acquisition  of  cognitive  skills
            can be specified with precision. William James’s comprehensive Principles of
            Psychology, published in 1890, did not include a chapter on skill acquisition,
            but the ph.d. thesis of his student E. L. Thorndike, begun in 1896 at Harvard
            University but issued a few years later from teachers College at Columbia
            University, reported experimental studies of how various species of animals
            learned to escape from cages with nonobvious door-opening mechanisms. 28, 29
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