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The Production of Novelty               65

               a combinatorial theory of creative thinking must specify, at a minimum,
            the cognitive elements that can enter into combinations and the process by
            which  they  are  combined.  The  generative  power  that  makes  combination
            an attractive principle for explaining the production of novelty also poses a
            conceptual puzzle. an educated adult knows some 50,000 words, and hence
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            approximately that many concepts.  He is capable of producing many billions
            of conceptual combinations, only a few of which would stir anyone’s interest. a
            satisfactory theory must specify how the mind tames the combinatorial explo-
            sion by giving direction to the creative process, lest the interesting combina-
            tions be lost among the rest.
               The French 19th-century mathematician and scientist Henri Poincaré pro-
            posed a combinatorial theory of creativity in mathematics, based on his own
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            experience.  He suggested that conscious work on a problem activates ideas
            and concepts related to the problem. When the problem is set aside for lack of
            progress, unconscious processes form random combinations of the activated
            ideas. The combinations vary in their aesthetic qualities. Combinations with
            higher mathematical beauty pass into consciousness and become objects of
            deliberate reflection. Poincaré claimed near-infallibility for this process. The
            most beautiful combination almost always turns out to contain the solution
            to the problem at hand, although he did admit the occasional exception. The
            key feature of Poincaré’s theory is that it breaks down the creative process into
            two structural components: an unconscious combinatorial process that gener-
            ates new idea configurations and an equally unconscious evaluation process
            that selects those that are to be subject to conscious reflection. in computer
            science terminology, this is called a generate-and-test process, with the uncon-
            scious processing playing the role of generator while conscious reflection plays
            the role of evaluator. The generation and testing are related to the transition
            between the unconscious and conscious levels of mind, so this is a form of pro-
            jection from one system level to the next; see Figure 3.1.
               The structure of Poincaré’s theory recurs in later proposals, albeit with dif-
            ferent articulations of the generative and selective components. in Psychology
            of Science, Dean Keith Simonton also claimed that new ideas come to mind as
            chance combinations of mental elements (sensations, concepts, schemas, etc.);
            “…  the  fundamental  generating  mechanism  in  scientific  creativity  involves
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            the chance permutation” of mental elements.  as in Poincaré’s theory, a small
            number of the new combinations are retained, but configurations are selected
            on the basis of their stability instead of their mathematical beauty. a stable
            configuration functions as a single cognitive unit and therefore can enter into
            yet more complex configurations; Figure 3.1 illustrates this concept. Simonton
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