Page 52 - Banking Finance May 2025
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ARTICLE

         U.S. Tariff Strategy and Global Ripple Effects                            Boost R&D and design capabilities.

         To address its chronic trade deficit (peaking at USD 1.1 trillion in 2023), the U.S.  Train the workforce for high-end
         imposed new tariffs on imports from 57 countries. On April 2, 2025, rates ranging  manufacturing.
         from 11% to 50% were applied to key sectors.
                                                                               3. Chemicals, Iron, and Steel
           Country    Tariff (%)  Key Exports Affected Likely Impact               India is gaining market share in
           China      34-50     Electronics, steel   Retaliation, supply chain     specialty chemicals due to China's
                                                     shifts                        regulatory constraints. Similarly,
           Vietnam    46        Textiles, electronics  Export decline, India gains  Indian steel producers are now
                                                                                   more attractive to global buyers.
           Cambodia   49        Apparel, footwear    Loss of U.S. market share
           Indonesia  32        Palm oil, minerals   Competitiveness decline
                                                                               Priorities:
           Taiwan     32        Semiconductors       Disruptions, geopolitical     Scale  production with environ-
                                                     friction                      mental compliance.
           India      26        Chemicals, EMS, iron  Relative advantage
                                                                                   Promote Indian certifications.
           EU (avg)   20        Machinery, vehicles  Inflationary pressure, FTA
                                                                                   Improve  port  and  logistics
                                                     talks
                                                                                   connectivity.
           UK         10        Pharma, autos        Revival of trade dialogue
                                                                               Trade Diplomacy and FTA
         China's strong countermeasures, including an 84% duty on U.S. goods, signal
         growing tensions. However, this global reshuffling opens new pathways for India. Strategy
                                                                               India's  approach  to  Free  Trade
         India's Emerging Trade Advantage                                      Agreements (FTAs) has evolved. With 13

         India's trade with the U.S. in 2025 reached $90 billion in goods and $385 billion  FTAs  and  6  Preferential  Trade
         in services, led by IT and pharmaceuticals-sectors largely untouched by the new  Agreements already in force, India is
         tariffs. This stability, combined with competitive positioning, enables India to  now  in  discussions  with  over  50
         capture new market share in sectors such as:                          nations.

         1. Textiles and Apparel                                               The UK Reconnects
             As global competitors like Vietnam and China face stiff U.S. tariffs, India's
             textile sector stands to benefit. With established production centers like  The UK, after withdrawing from FTA
             Tiruppur and Surat, India can expand rapidly.                     talks  in  2024, re-engaged  in 2025.
                                                                               Rising post-Brexit vulnerabilities and
         Strategic Actions:                                                    China concerns have pushed the UK
             Enhance logistics and production capacity.                        back to the negotiation table.
                                                                               Implication: India is now viewed as a
             Promote eco-friendly, certified products.
                                                                               pragmatic and strategic trade partner.
             Add value through design and innovation.
                                                                               Expanding in the Global South
         2. Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS)                           India is quietly building ties beyond the
             India's EMS industry, supported by Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes,  West with regions such as:
             is gaining global traction. Tariffs on Chinese and Vietnamese electronics  West Asia: UAE, Saudi Arabia
             (40%+) give India a comparative advantage.
                                                                                   Africa: Kenya, Egypt, South Africa
         Focus Areas:                                                              Southeast  Asia:  Indonesia,
             Localize supply chains and components.                                Philippines

            BANKING FINANCE |                                                                  MAY | 2025 | 47
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