Page 51 - Banking Finance February 2026
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ARTICLE
                                                                                          ARTICLE



         Systemic Risk



         Survey - A Mirror



         to India's Financial



         Stability                                                                               Puneet Kumar


                                                                                          Chief Manager (Research)
                                                                                              Union Bank of India,
                                                                                               Gurugram, Haryana




           According to the World Gold Council, in the past decade (2015-2024), the global annual average
           demand for gold has been around 4,338 tonnes against the average annual supply of 4,771 tonnes,
           which was largely driven by 75% of mined gold and 25% of recycled gold.



          T      he Reserve Bank of India (RBI) regularly conducts  financial system where risks can emerge domestically

                 the Systemic Risk Survey (SRS) to capture the per-
                                                              or spill over from international developments. Traditional
                 ceptions of market participants regarding poten-
         tial risks to the financial system. The survey provides a valu-  indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, or current
                                                              account deficit capture only part of the story. The SRS
         able understanding of the collective sentiment of stakehold-  complements quantitative data with qualitative insights,
         ers such as banks, non-banking financial companies, rating  offering regulators a broader view of perceptions about
         agencies, financial market participants, and academic ex-  vulnerabilities.
         perts. The SRS serves as an early-warning mechanism for
         policymakers by capturing perceptions of risk at both do-  For the RBI, the SRS acts as an important input into
         mestic and global levels.
                                                              macroprudential policymaking, helping to identify where
         The May 2025 round of the SRS, published in the Financial  vulnerabilities may arise and how confidence among stake-
         Stability Report (FSR) - June 2025, reveals a strong sense of  holders shifts over time. It ensures that supervisory focus is
         optimism about the resilience of the Indian financial sys-  not just reactive but also anticipatory.
         tem. Notably, 91.9% of respondents believe that the finan-
         cial system will remain stable or become more stable over  Key Findings of the May 2025 SRS
         the next 12 months. This reflects the credibility of India's
         macroeconomic fundamentals, effective regulatory actions,  1. Improved Confidence in Stability
         and strong capital and liquidity buffers within financial in-  The most important finding is that 91.9% of respon-
         stitutions.                                             dents believe the financial system will stay stable or get
                                                                 stronger in the coming year. This is better than previ-
         Why the SRS Matters                                     ous surveys and shows growing trust in India's economy

         The Indian economy operates in an interconnected global  and the strength of its regulations.

            44 | 2026 | FEBRUARY                                                           | BANKING FINANCE
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