Page 4 - Insurance Surveyors Book Ebook IC S01
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Survey And Loss Assessment IC-S01


                     Forced Abandonment/Divestiture



                     Economically,  changes  in  the  methods  of  production  and  distribution  are


                       another source of risk.


                     Risk, in insurance terms, is the possibility of a loss or other adverse event that


                       has  the  potential  to  interfere  with  an  organization's  ability  to  fulfill  its


                       mandate, and for which an insurance claim may be submitted.





               Risk & Uncertainty


               Professor Frank Knight in "Risk, Uncertainty and Profit" identified uncertain events


               into two main categories :


                     Those for which the probability of occurrence can be calculated either on a


                       rational basis, or on the basis of the statistical analysis of a number of similar


                       events that have occurred in the past. These are Risks.


                     Those for which analysis is impossible by virtue of the fact that they are either


                       a  "one  off  event  or  because  their  occurrence  does  not  follow  an  apparent


                       pattern of events. These are Uncertainties.



                     The Probability of Occurrence or the chance that an event may take place is


                       defined as the number of occasions a particular event will occur in an infinitely

                       large number of independent events. It is measured either as a decimal or a


                       fraction or as a percentage but always in the range of Zero to One i.e. The


                       likelihood of an event is assigned a numerical value between 0 and 1, with












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