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hoW Can The monITorIng and ConTrol proCess aTTempT To ConTrol rIsKs?  353

                              Figure 10.7  Implementing a strategy that moves an operation from a to b may mean
                              deviating from the ‘line of fit’ and therefore exposing the operation to risk

                                                                                 Line of fit

                                                                             B
                                               Level/nature of  market requirements  External





                                                                                     risk (market needs
                              Internal operations-                                   operations-related
                              related risk (excess                                   exceeding current
                               capability for current                                levels of capability
                               market needs means                                    means risk of failing
                               risk of unexploited                                   to satisfy the
                               capabilities)           A                             market)






                                                  Level/nature of operations resources capability




                             capability to satisfy it. This is called external operations-related risk. The area below the
                             diagonal implies that a firm has levels of competence or potential performance that are
                             not being exploited in the marketplace. This is called internal operations-related risk.


                             pure and speculative risk
                             A useful distinction is that between pure risks (involving events that will produce the
                             possibility only of loss, or negative outcomes) and speculative risks (which emerge from
                             competitive scenarios and hold the potential for loss or gain – positive outcomes). A
                             pure risk might be the risk that, while implementing a new blood-testing strategy for
                             HIV, a technician at a medical laboratory is involved in an accident that leads to pos-
                             sible infection. A speculative risk might be the risk associated with developing a new
                             computer-based diagnostics and information infrastructure to enable the laboratory
                             to offer a range of profitable new services. The risk here is that the technology may not
                             work (or not work on time or in budget), or that the market will not want to pay for the
                             new services. This is illustrated in Figure 10.8. The pure-risk type of ‘accident’ involves
                             a reduction in effective operations resource capability of the type represented by the
                             movement between A and C. Speculative risk of the type represented by the new infor-
                             mation infrastructure is represented by the possible outcomes B, D and E. Movement
                             from A to B is positive in the sense that it represents a fulfilment of the intended out-
                             come. Negative consequences are represented by point D, where market requirements
                             have increased as intended but operations capabilities have failed to match them, and
                             E, where operations capabilities have been increased but have not been fully exploited
                             in the market.








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