Page 10 - March 2022 Issue.indd
P. 10

DOLLARS AND SENSE                                           by Tolbert Rowe





                              When demand exceeds supply, prices will go up.


                   is official, the Coronavirus’s   themselves desperate for business and   your transactional expenses or closing

                   impact on interest rates is   will do or say about anything to fi ll their   costs. This is especially true when there
                   over! Gone are sub 3% rates   pipeline of business. This is leading   is a possibility that real estate values will
                   t

                    h
           It t had drawn so many              many loan offi  cers to find creative ways   peak at some point in 2022 and interest
                     a
            homeowners out of their pandemic   for borrowers to justify refi nancing or   rates may continue to rise due to an
            slumber to refinance. And those who   using them for a mortgage to purchase   increase in infl ation.

            purchased a home are guaranteed to   a home.
                                                                                 Covid impact on the world’s workforce
            have their mortgages long term because
                                               When shopping for a mortgage      has triggered delays in about everything
            rates will never drop to these levels
                                               borrowers are most concerned with   in the supply chain. Automobile
            again. Or at least I will never live to see   getting the “best rate” with best   manufacturers’ inability to secure
            rates that low again.
                                               rate being the lowest rate. The loan   computer chips and other parts for new
            The increase in mortgage rates has   costs to get that rate are a secondary   vehicles has turned acres of dealer lots
            slowed refinancing to a trickle. As   consideration, but they should be a   into asphalt jungles. The new car buying

            reported in the Wall Street Journal   primary consideration. The more   experience has morphed into one where
            on February 10, “At the beginning of   points you pay the lower the interest   you used to be able to see and drive
            this year (2022) there were 11 million   rate and a lower interest rate must be   the vehicle you were purchasing. Now
            borrowers who were good candidates   the “best” rate, right?         dealers are drumming up excitement

            to refinance their mortgages, according                              in the opportunity to build your own
            to Black Knight, a mortgage technology   Not if you must pay $8,000 in closing   vehicle, if you are willing to wait the
                                               costs or points to get it. My philosophy
            and data provider. That has been   has always been if you need to pay   weeks or months to have it delivered.
            slashed to less than 6 million as of mid-


                                               points to justify refinancing then it is   The price of used cars is so far out of
            February, and down from more than 16
                                               not a good decision. Keep the mortgage   whack that a vehicle purchased new
            million last February”. The increase in

                                               that you have. And if you are buying a   in 2019-2020 for $25,000 is worth the
            mortgage rates in the last 30 days has   house and considering paying points   same today three years later. Th e same
            cut the number of borrowers who could
                                               for a purchase mortgage, do not. Use   situation exists for those who leased a
            benefit by refinancing in half.


                                               the money you would spend on points,   vehicle where the agreed upon price the

            The increase in mortgage rates is forcing   which is a transactional expense, and   lessee could purchase the vehicle for
            mortgage lenders and loan officers   use it toward a bigger down payment,   is lower than the vehicle’s value today.
            to adjust their method of generating   which is equity.              Lessees can purchase the car they have
            business. Those who relied on a    Remember, when purchasing a home,   been driving for the last 2-3 years and
            steady stream of refi nance customers                                turn around and resell it for thousands
                                               equity is good. Closing costs paid out of
            inquiring on the internet now find                                   of dollars more.
                                               pocket are bad. Do all you can to reduce
                                                                                 Neither of these two situations has
                                                                                 ever happened before. Vehicles have
              “Your Mortgage Consultant Since 1985”                              traditionally lost 20% to 30% of their
                                                                                 value as soon as they were driven off  the
             Purchase or Refinance                                               dealer’s lot, and, depending on the make
                                                                                 and model of the vehicle, continued to
                                                                                 lose value over time. But according to
                                                                                 Cox Automotive the average listing
                                                                                 price for a used vehicle was $28,500 in
                                                                                 January which was a 31% increase from
             115 E Dover St. Ste 3 - Easton, MD                                  January 2021. Smart money should
             tolbert@baycapitalmortgage.com                 C. Tolbert Rowe,     have been buying used cars a year ago!
             www.baycapitalmortgage.com        NMLS         Vice President/Lending  Trillions of dollars in stimulus money
                                               182844
                                                                                 are driving inflation to levels not
               410-819-3005  /  cell 410-310-3520                                seen in over a generation, and vehicle
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