Page 12 - May 2023 Issue.indd
P. 12

DOLLARS AND SENSE                                           by Tolbert Rowe




                                           Recent Bank Failures


            Last month I made a prediction that   money. The same cannot be said for   sole purpose of generating additional
            we would begin to see a decline in   stockholders and unsecured creditors.  revenue. Banks are operating effi  ciently
            inflation numbers over the next several                              when the income they receive from

                                               Each of these banks’ ability to operate
            months because at this time last year                                loans and investments is greater than
                                               properly and profitably was impacted

            prices jumped insanely due to pandemic                               the interest that they pay depositors on

                                               by factors that significantly impacted on
            shutdowns and supply chain issues. True                              their accounts. Non-interest-bearing
                                               their liquidity and depositors’ ability to
            to my prediction inflation in March                                  checking accounts are the cheapest
                                               access their money.
            came in 5% higher than March of 2022,                                funds a bank can raise.

            which was lower than 6% inflation in   DISCLAIMER
            February. In addition, month to month   Some may find the rest of this article   As a normal course of business many
            inflation was only up .1% from February.   boring, regardless of how fascinating   banks invest in US Treasury securities

                                                                                 for safety purposes. The United States

                                               I have tried to make the subject jump
            It is unlikely that this good news will                              Treasury has never defaulted on or failed


                                               off the page. The executive summary of
            dampen the Fed’s resolve for increasing                              to pay an obligation like a Treasury bill
                                               the rest of this article is “do not run to
            rates to lower inflation. Th e economy                               or bond. This will become a political

                                               the bank and withdraw all your money
            added 236,000 new jobs in March which                                issue in the months ahead as the political
                                               because you fear the bank is going to

            were offset by an increase of 239,000 new                            hacks in Congress hunker down in their
                                               fail and you will never see your money
            unemployment applications showing                                    tribal Republican and Democrat forts
                                               again. If you have already withdrawn
            no real net gain in employment, but the                              and lob grenades at each other about

                                               your money and stuffed it under your
            unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%.                                   raising the debt ceiling or else, but this
                                               mattress, go, get it, and take it back to
            The unemployment rate has been at                                    is fodder for another article.
                                               the bank.”  Your money is safe. Turn to
            or below 4% since March of 2018 and
                                               the word search page and relax.   When a bank purchases or invests
            presents the biggest obstacle to moving                              in treasuries they create an asset for

            the inflation number lower.        CONTINUE IF YOU DARE
                                                                                 the bank, and they must classify that
                                               Customers deposit money with a bank
            In addition to low unemployment                                      security as either “available for sale”
                                               with the understanding that the bank
            the Fed now must contend with the                                    or “held to maturity” for accounting
                                               is holding those funds in trust until the
            impact of the second and third largest                               purposes. How they are classifi ed can
                                               customer wants to withdraw some or all
            bank failures in US history. The only                                influence the income of the bank.

                                               of them in accordance with the terms
            bank failure bigger than Silicon Valley

                                               and conditions of the account.    A security that is classified as “held to
            Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank was
                                                                                 maturity” is shown at the original cost
            Washington Mutual in 2008. The     The bank uses these deposits to fund
            immediate impact of these bank failures   loans to individuals and businesses.   on the balance sheet. And as such it
            has been dealt with and no depositor   They also invest funds that are not   is assumed the bank/owner will not
            with accounts in these banks has lost   being used to fund loans to borrowers   sell it prior to maturity. A $100,000
                                                                                 10-year treasury bill at 2% will show
                                               in several types of investments for the
                                                                                 as an asset valued at $100,000 until it
                                                                                 reaches maturity in 10 years. Changes
                                                                                 in the yield of 10-year treasuries have no
              “Your Mortgage Consultant Since 1985”
                                                                                 impact on the $100,000 value.
             Purchase or Refinance                                               Think of a held to maturity security the

                                                                                 same as a mutual fund or stock in your
                                                                                 IRA or 401k that you do not intend to
                                                                                 access until you retire. The value may

                                                                                 go up and down over time, which does
                                                                                 not affect your income because you are

             115 E Dover St. Ste 3 - Easton, MD                                  leaving the funds in the account. You
             tolbert@baycapitalmortgage.com                 C. Tolbert Rowe,     may have paid $100 for a share of stock
             www.baycapitalmortgage.com        NMLS         Vice President/Lending  or a mutual fund whose current value
                                               182844
                                                                                 may have dropped to $90. If you don’t
               410-819-3005  /  cell 410-310-3520                                sell your share, you haven’t lost anything
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