Page 12 - October 2022 Issue.indd
P. 12

DOLLARS AND SENSE                                          by Tolbert Rowe





                                Forgiving Student Loan Debt





            President Biden, in a blatantly political   Now the economy is looking vastly   payments on other “stuff” that there isn’t

            move, has relieved nearly 40 million   different, almost recessionary. I   much of. This logic is simply wrong and
            taxpayers from the burden of repaying up   say “almost” because by definition a   doesn’t make much sense to me.
            to $10,000 of their federal student loans.   recession exists when the economy   President Trump started the forbearance
            And for those who received a Pell Grant,   contracts or shows negative growth for   train down the track in March of 2020
            the forgiveness is doubled to $20,000.   two quarters. We achieved this milestone   and it has been extended seven times

            This enhancement will especially benefi t   in the first six months of this year, 2022.   since, allowing 47 million Americans to

            students attending Historically Black   So, there it is, we are in a recession, or   spend or save what they would have paid
            Colleges and Universities (HBCU) since   are we?                      on their loans. Inflation was impacted

            approximately 70% of them qualify for   All previous recessions we have endured   with the very first payment that was not

            Pell Grants. For those with student loan   saw a contraction in employment, and   being made by student loan debtors in

            balances after the credit is applied the   rising unemployment. During the fi rst   March of 2020 and has been recharged
            forbearance from making payments is   six months of this year, which were   with every extension.
            being extended to January 2023, nearly   the months of negative growth, the
            three years from the last month they   unemployment rate dropped below 4%   There is one catch to this government

            were required to make a payment.                                      giveaway, your income in 2021 must
                                               and has stayed around 3.5%.
            According to President Biden, the                                     have been less than $125,000 and
            forbearance is being extended to give   In all but one recession since World   if you are married and filed a joint

            those borrowers who will be left with a   War II there was a period of higher   return income cannot exceed $250,000.

            balance on their student loans suffi  cient   inflation immediately before it. Infl ation   $125,000 in annual income is over

            time to prepare to make these monthly   in January of 2022, the first month of   $10,000 per month. Household income
            payments. You know, the ones they   the recession, was at 7% and steadily   up to $250,000 is almost $21,000 per
            have not made since February of 2020.   increased to a historic high of 9.1 %   month.
            During this time, unemployment has   in June. Again, the six months or two   It is estimated that there are more than
            fallen to historic low levels. Th ere have   quarters of negative growth.   45 million Americans with student
            been nearly two available jobs for every   Now we have some economists and   loan debt that totals over $1.6 trillion,
            unemployed person for at least the last   other “talking heads” warning that   a number that has tripled in the last 15
            6-8 months. The personal savings rate   forgiving what is estimated to be $400   years. The White House tells us that 43


            at one time exceeded 30% of disposable   million in student loan debt will be   million borrowers will benefit from the

            income, mainly because of government   another force pushing infl ation higher.   cancellation, which is 95.5%. Roughly
            subsidies and child credits.       By encouraging debtors to spend the   20 million or 47% will see their balances
                                               money they would use to make their   disappear because they owe less than the
                                                                                  $10,000 and $20,000 thresholds. Using
                                                                                  these numbers there will only be two
                                                                                  million borrowers who will not benefi t
                                                                                  from the cancellation.
              “Your Mortgage Consultant Since 1985”
             Purchase or Refinance                                                As if this isn’t enough largess to throw
                                                                                  at the electorate President Biden
                                                                                  is sweetening the income-based
                                                                                  repayment (IBR) plans where borrower’s
                                                                                  payments are based on their income
                                                                                  and at the end of 20 years, (10 years if
              115 E Dover St. Ste 3 - Easton, MD                                  they work in “public service”), whatever
              tolbert@baycapitalmortgage.com                C. Tolbert Rowe,      balance remains is discharged. Currently
              www.baycapitalmortgage.com       NMLS         Vice President/Lending  borrowers must pay 10% of discretionary
                                               182844                             income, according to a formula, but this
                                                                                  is being reduced to 5%.
               410-819-3005  /  cell 410-310-3520
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