Page 563 - Environment: The Science Behind the Stories
P. 563

20                                                 140        Dollar value of the day
                                                                                                               Arab
                                                          Production        130        Dollar value in 2012  Hurricanes
                                                                                                               Spring
                       Million barrels of oil per day  10                  Crude oil prices (U.S. dollars per barrel)  100  OPEC oil  Gulf Katrina & Rita
                                                          Consumption
                                                                            120
                                                                                             Iranian
                         15
                                                                            110
                                                                                             revolution
                                                                             90
                                                                             80
                                                                                           embargo
                                                                             70
                                                                                                              U.S.
                                                                             60
                                                                                                         War
                          5
                                                                                                              Iraq
                                                                             40
                                                                             30
                          0                                                  50                               invades
                              Saudi    Iran  United  Germany  Japan          20                                    Recession
                              Arabia
                                               States
                                                                             10
                     FIGURE 19.20 Japan, Germany, and the United States are   0
                     among nations that consume far more oil than they produce.   1950  1960  1970  1980  1990  2000   2010
                     Iran and Saudi Arabia produce more oil than they consume and are              Year
                     able to export oil to high-consumption countries. Data from BP p.l.c.,   FIGURE 19.21 World oil prices have gyrated over the decades.
                     2012. Statistical review of world energy 2012.       Often this has resulted from political and economic events in oil-
                           For every barrel of oil produced in the United States, how   producing countries, particularly in the Middle East. Data from U.S. Energy
                           many barrels are consumed in the United States?  Information Administration and BP p.l.c., 2012, Statistical review of world energy 2012.
                     services depend in some way on fossil fuels, we are vulner-  trading partner. Trading with Canada for petroleum from the
                     able to supplies becoming costly or unavailable. Nations that   oil sands would lessen U.S. reliance on Middle Eastern oil,
                     lack adequate fossil fuel reserves of their own are especially   and this is a major reason that many American policymakers
                     vulnerable. For instance, Germany, France, South Korea, and   and citizens favor building the Keystone XL pipeline. Indeed,
                     Japan consume far more energy than they produce and thus   in recent years the United States has already diversified its
                     rely almost entirely on imports (FIGURE 19.20). Since its 1970   sources of imported petroleum considerably and now receives
                     oil production peak, the United States has relied more on for-  most from non–Middle Eastern nations, including Canada,
                     eign energy, and today imports nearly half of its oil.  Mexico, Venezuela, and Nigeria (FIGURE 19.22).
                        Such reliance means that seller nations can control energy   Diversifying sources of foreign oil was one way in which
                     prices, forcing buyer nations to pay more as supplies dwindle.   the U.S. government responded to the 1973 embargo. The United
                     This became clear in 1973, when the Organization of Petroleum   States also enacted conservation measures, capped the price that
                     Exporting Countries (OPEC) resolved to stop selling oil to the   domestic producers could charge for oil, funded research into
                     United States. The predominantly Arab nations of OPEC opposed   renewable  energy  sources,  and  urged  oil  companies  to pursue
                     U.S. support of Israel in the Arab–Israeli Yom Kippur War and   secondary extraction at old wells. It established an emergency
                     sought to raise prices by restricting supply. The embargo cre-
                     ated panic in the West and caused oil prices to skyrocket (FIGURE
                     19.21), spurring inflation. Fear of oil shortages drove American   Other non-OPEC
                     consumers to wait in long lines at gas pumps. A similar supply   nations
                     shock followed in 1979 in response to the Iranian revolution.
                        With the majority of world oil reserves located in the          20.2%        Canada
                     politically volatile Middle East, crises in this region are a con-               23.8%
                     stant concern for U.S. policymakers.  The democratic street
                     uprisings of the “Arab Spring” that began in 2011 in Tunisia
                     and Egypt and spread elsewhere in the region put leaders of   Other  9.8%            Mexico
                                                                          OPEC
                     the United States and other Western nations in an awkward   nations                  10.6%
                     position, because they had long supported many of the region’s   4.0%
                     autocratic rulers. These rulers had facilitated Western access to   Iraq  5.5%
                     oil, even as they suppressed democracy in their own societies.                    10.5%
                     The Arab Spring uprisings were only the most recent in a long        7.2%  8.3%
                     history of events that have affected oil prices and global access   Russia               Saudi Arabia
                     to oil, stretching back through the U.S.–led wars in Iraq and
                     the Iran–Iraq war of the 1980s to the 1973 OPEC embargo.         Nigeria  Venezuela      OPEC nations
                        From this perspective, turning to Canada’s oil sands as                               Non-OPEC nations
                     a primary source of oil represents a perfect solution for the   FIGURE 19.22 The United States now imports most oil from
                     United States. Canada is a stable, friendly, democratic neigh-  non-OPEC nations and from non-Middle-Eastern nations. Data
             562     boring country that is already the United States’ biggest   from U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2012. Annual energy review 2011.







           M19_WITH7428_05_SE_C19.indd   562                                                                                    12/12/14   5:23 PM
   558   559   560   561   562   563   564   565   566   567   568