Page 605 - Environment: The Science Behind the Stories
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tHE sCIENCE   bEHINd tHE stoRy




                     Comparing Energy                                                    by a government or by terrorists. When

                     sources                                                             these factors were included, nuclear
                                                                                         power emerged as the least safe
                     In a world facing climate change, air                               option.
                     pollution, and risks to energy security,                                Jacobson next looked at the
                     the choices we make as a society                                    footprint in land area that each energy
                     about energy are far-reaching. With the                             source takes up. He calculated area
                     stakes so high, and with a variety of                               taken up by energy infrastructure
                     energy sources to choose from, which                                directly, as well as area influenced
                     sources should we pursue?                                           by the spacing of infrastructure. All
                        A number of researchers have                                     electricity- generating renewables were
                     compared energy sources, trying to                                  very modest in their land demand, with
                     determine which are cleanest, which                                 hydropower and wind power taking
                     release the fewest greenhouse gases,                                up greater areas than the rest. Again,
                     and which provide the most economic   Mark Jacobson of Stanford university  biofuels were high-impact; both corn
                     stability. Let’s examine one recent study   In all, Jacobson evaluated and   ethanol and cellulosic ethanol required
                     that sought to analyze all the biggest   ranked nine electric power sources and   land areas greater than the size of
                     issues in a comprehensive way.    two liquid fuel sources, in conjunction   California.
                        In 2009 Mark Jacobson, director   with three  vehicle types: battery-electric   Jacobson continued by assess-
                     of the Atmosphere/Energy Program at   vehicles (p. 565), hydrogen-fuel-cell   ing water consumption, effects on
                     Stanford University, undertook a broad   vehicles (p. 622), and E85 flex-fuel vehi-  wildlife, thermal pollution, chemical
                     review of renewable energy sources,   cles (p. 587).                pollution of water, radioactive waste,
                     digging deep into the published litera-  He first examined carbon diox-  operating reliability, and energy supply
                     ture to calculate impacts of different   ide emissions. His analysis showed   disruption.
                     energy sources across their entire   that wind power was lowest in CO    With regard to supply disrup-
                                                                                 2
                     life cycles (including their materials,   emissions but that nearly all renewable   tion, he concluded that although many
                     construction, operation, and so on).   options eliminated the vast majority of   renewables are intermittent in their
                     Reviewing over 100 existing studies,   emissions from vehicles, thus reducing   supply, they are least prone to major
                     his life-cycle analysis (p. 287, 641) was   total U.S. emissions by close to 30%.   disruptions because they are less
                     published in the journal Energy and   The exceptions were corn-based etha-  centralized than coal-fired plants,
                     Environmental Science.            nol and cellulosic ethanol (pp. 587–588,   nuclear plants, or oil and ethanol
                        It is difficult to compare energy   590), both of which, he found, would   refineries. Moreover, he argued that
                     sources because some are used     be likely to increase emissions.  intermittency could be overcome
                     primarily to generate electricity whereas   Next, Jacobson analyzed air pollu-  by integrating sources over large
                     others are used mostly for heating and   tion from seven major pollutants. Using   geographic areas and by combining
                     cooling, while still others provide fuel   data on U.S. deaths attributed to fossil   them strategically through the day,
                     for transportation. To make an apples-  fuel pollution each year, he calculated   taking advantage of peaks in power
                     to-apples comparison, Jacobson    the number of deaths expected to   from solar and wind and balancing the
                     calculated impacts for each source as   result from using each energy source   troughs with geothermal, pumped-
                     if it alone were being used to power   to fuel vehicles. The number of deaths   storage hydropower, batteries,
                     all the vehicles in the United States.   was close to zero for all renewable   hydrogen fuel, and other means
                     For example, for electricity-producing   sources except for biofuels. Deaths   (Figure 1).
                     sources such as wind or PV solar, he   from ethanol emissions were equiva-  When Jacobson at last went to
                     calculated how much was needed to   lent in number to those currently   assess overall results and rank the
                     power electric vehicles for the entire   attributed to gasoline. Nuclear power   energy sources by a weighted aver-
                     nation, and he compared the impacts   was equivalent to most renewables in   age of all the above issues, he found
                     to those from powering the same num-  having a low death rate, but Jacobson   that wind power was most desirable,
                     ber of combustion-engine vehicles with   also calculated impacts from potential   followed by concentrated solar power,
                     liquid fuels.                     nuclear proliferation and weapons use   geothermal power, tidal power, and






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           M21_WITH7428_05_SE_C21.indd   604                                                                                    12/12/14   4:29 PM
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