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CHAPTER 15   Personal Financial Planning   539


                 ment, remember that risk and return are a trade-off. As a rule, higher rewards are
                 earned only by riskier investments.
                    Practically speaking, investment risk can be defined as the probability that you  investment risk The probability that an
                 will lose all or part of your investment. In general, the greater the potential return  individual will lose all or part of an
                                                                                          investment
                 on an investment, the higher the risk. How well a person predicts the future is an
                 important factor in determining the risk involved. The further in the future a return
                 is expected, the greater the risk involved, since it is hard to predict the future with  EXHIBIT 15.8
                 any degree of certainty.  The shorter the time horizon, the less the uncertainty  Investments and Relative
                 involved, so the lower the risk. The more variable the rate of return, the greater the  Risk
                 uncertainty.
                    Many people are risk averse, meaning that they prefer investments with  Highest Risk/
                 low risk. How much risk can you tolerate? The greater the risk involved, the  Highest Return
                 greater the potential compensation, but also the greater the chances of loss.
                 Insured certificates of deposit (CDs) and T-bills are the least risky investments  • Exploratory drilling
                 and have low levels of uncertainty. Exploratory drilling for oil and futures con-  • Production funds
                 tracts are risky investments; they involve a great amount of uncertainty. Exhibit  • Commodity futures
                 15.8 shows a number of possible investments and their relative risk.          • Collectibles
                                                                                               • Undeveloped land
                                                                                               • Investment real estate
                 Managing Investments                                                          • Put and call options
                                                                                               • Junk bonds
                 Investing today to accumulate money for future needs is at the heart of finan-
                                                                                               • Oil and gas participation
                 cial planning. An important consideration before deciding if you should
                                                                                               • Precious metals
                 manage all or part of your investments is whether you have the time neces-    • Common stocks
                 sary to do so. Managing your own investments requires that you read and       • Mutual funds
                 analyze daily all information that concerns your investments. Being your      • Corporate bonds
                 own investment manager requires time and a sound basis for your invest-       • Variable life insurance
                 ment decisions.                                                               • Variable annuities
                    You must decide how to divide your money among stocks, bonds, real         • Municipal bonds
                 estate, money market funds, and other investment instruments. This process    • Government securities
                 is called asset allocation. The amount you decide to put into each type of    • Non-variable annuities
                                                                                               • Homes
                 investment has much to do with individual goals and objectives. Asset allo-
                                                                                               • Money market funds
                 cation can have a major impact on your total portfolio return. Asset alloca-
                                                                                               • Treasury bills
                 tion is more critical than specific stock selections. A diversified portfolio is
                                                                                               • Certificates of deposit
                 one asset allocation strategy, and a diversified portfolio enables you to with-
                                                                                               • Guaranteed life insurance
                 stand market volatility with less risk.
                                                                                               • Series EE and HH bonds
                    A key consideration in developing your portfolio is your time horizon.     • Savings accounts
                 Your time horizon refers to the number of years you have to achieve your      • Checking accounts
                 financial plan. Developing your portfolio requires you to consider your time  • Cash
                 horizon, where you are now and where you want to be in the future, and your
                 reasons for investing.  These considerations are determined by your age,  Lowest Risk/
                 annual income, family make-up, future financial obligations, and need for  Lowest Return
                 liquidity. For example, the portfolio allocations of a newly married couple in
                 their twenties with no children, a couple in their early forties with two teenagers
                 soon to be entering college, and a single individual at age 55 should be substantially  asset allocation The process of dividing
                 different because of their different time horizons and financial goals.  one’s money among stocks, bonds, real
                                                                                          estate, money market funds, and other
                    Equity investments should be allocated among the major sectors of the econ-
                                                                                          investment instruments
                 omy. These sectors include the automotive, banking, computer, energy, industrial,
                                                                                          time horizon The number of years an
                 pharmaceutical, retail, and utility industries. If you are employed by a firm in one  individual has to achieve her or his
                 industry, don’t be afraid of investing in competitive companies that you know are  financial plan
                 well managed. Be cautious about investing too much in your employer’s stock. If
                 the company in which you work fails, you could lose both your job and your
                 investment.


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