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Chapter 20




               Chapter 6




                  Question 1



                  Sensitivity analysis

                  A project requires an investment of $220,000 today and will bring in annual
                  operating cash flows of $75,000.  These are made up of sales volumes of 5,000
                  units each year for the four years of the project, a sales price of $50 per unit,
                  variable costs per unit of $25 and annual fixed costs of $50,000.  The asset will
                  have no value at the end of the project.

                  There is no tax or inflation and the discount rate is 8%.


                  (a)  Calculate the NPV of the project.

                  (b)  Calculate the sensitivity of the project to:

                        (i)  initial investment


                        (ii)  selling price per unit

                        (iii)  variable cost per unit

                        (iv) sales volume

                        (v)  fixed cost per unit

                        (vi) discount rate




                  (a)

                                                        df/af 8%       PV
                   t0     purchase        (220,000)             1 (220,000)

                   t1-4 revenue             250,000        3.312     828,000
                   t1-4 variable cost     (125,000)        3.312 (414,000)

                   t1-4 fixed cost          (50,000)       3.312 (165,600)
                          NPV                                         28,400







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