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Investment appraisal – Further aspects of discounted cash flows





                  Question 3



                  Real and money methods

                  An investment costs $20,000.  Expected net cash flows from the investment are
                  $7,000 per annum in current terms and will last for four years.  The cash flows
                  are expected to be subject to inflation of 4%.  The money cost of capital for
                  discounting is 14%.

                  Calculate the NPV by:


                  (a)  Discounting the money cash flows at the money cost of capital

                  (b)  Discounting the real cash flows at the real cost of capital

                  (a)

                        Time      Cash flow ($)  Discount factor 14%                  PV

                        t0             (20,000)                        1        (20,000)
                        t1                7,280                   0.877            6,385
                        t2                7,571                   0.769            5,822

                        t3                7,874                   0.675            5,315
                        t4                8,189                   0.592            4,848

                                                                         NPV      $2,370

                  (b)

                        Real cost of capital = (1.14/1.04) – 1 = 0.096 or 9.6%

                        Uninflated cash flows act as an annuity for 4 years.

                        4 year annuity factor for 9.6%:

                                   -4
                        (1 – 1.096 )/0.096 = 3.198

                        NPV = (20,000) + 7,000 × 3.198 = $2,386





                  Illustrations and further practice



                  Now try TYU questions 3 and 4 from Chapter 4



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