Page 21 - FINAL CFA SLIDES DECEMBER 2018 DAY 14
P. 21

Session Unit 14:
                                                                  49. Equity Valuation: Concepts and Basic Tools


        Example: P/E based on fundamentals: A firm has an expected dividend payout ratio of 60%, a required rate of
        return of 11%, and an expected dividend growth rate of 5%. Calculate the firm’s fundamental (justified) leading P/E
        ratio.



                                                                                                         If in the market this

                                                                                                         was 16? And what
                                                                                                         if it was 7?


                                                         tanties

         Other things equal, the P/E ratio will increase with:
         (1) a higher dividend pay-out rate,                              All 3 means a higher PE ratio is justified?

         (2) a higher growth rate, or

         (3) a lower required rate of return.



         While higher dividends will increase firm value, a lower growth rate will decrease firm value. This
         relationship is referred to as the dividend displacement of earnings. The net effect on firm value of

         increasing the dividend pay-out ratio is ambiguous. As intuition would suggest, firms cannot
         continually increase their P/Es or market values by increasing the dividend pay-out ratio. Otherwise,
         all firms would have 100% pay-out ratios.


                                                      Note: Watch for the wording “other things equal” or

                                                      “other variables unchanged” in any exam questions
                                                      about the effect of changing one variable.
   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   24   25   26