Page 21 - FINAL CFA SLIDES DECEMBER 2018 DAY 14
P. 21
Session Unit 14:
49. Equity Valuation: Concepts and Basic Tools
Example: P/E based on fundamentals: A firm has an expected dividend payout ratio of 60%, a required rate of
return of 11%, and an expected dividend growth rate of 5%. Calculate the firm’s fundamental (justified) leading P/E
ratio.
If in the market this
was 16? And what
if it was 7?
tanties
Other things equal, the P/E ratio will increase with:
(1) a higher dividend pay-out rate, All 3 means a higher PE ratio is justified?
(2) a higher growth rate, or
(3) a lower required rate of return.
While higher dividends will increase firm value, a lower growth rate will decrease firm value. This
relationship is referred to as the dividend displacement of earnings. The net effect on firm value of
increasing the dividend pay-out ratio is ambiguous. As intuition would suggest, firms cannot
continually increase their P/Es or market values by increasing the dividend pay-out ratio. Otherwise,
all firms would have 100% pay-out ratios.
Note: Watch for the wording “other things equal” or
“other variables unchanged” in any exam questions
about the effect of changing one variable.