Page 45 - AFM Integrated Workbook STUDENT S18-J19
P. 45
Investment appraisal
Illustration 2
Konta Co is evaluating a new investment project.
The forecast free cash flows are:
$000 T 0 T 1 T 2 T 3 T 4 T 5
FCF (3,500) 1,200 1,150 1,450 1,300 1,000
The company’s cost of capital is 10%.
Required:
Calculate the project’s Macaulay duration, and modified duration.
Solution
The project’s Macaulay duration is calculated by first calculating the
discounted cash flow for each future year, and then weighting each discounted
cash flow according to its time of receipt, as follows:
$000 T 1 T 2 T 3 T 4 T 5
FCF 1,200 1,150 1,450 1,300 1,000
DF @ 10% 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683 0.621
PV 1,091 950 1,089 888 621 Σ = 4,639
PV x year 1,091 1,900 3,267 3,552 3,105 Σ = 12,915
Macaulay duration = 12,915 / 4,639 = 2.78 years
Duration considers the time value of money and all of the cash flows of a
project.
Also, modified duration is 2.78 / 1.10 = 2.53
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