Page 45 - AFM Integrated Workbook STUDENT S18-J19
P. 45

Investment appraisal







                   Illustration 2





                   Konta Co is evaluating a new investment project.

                   The forecast free cash flows are:

                   $000                T 0        T 1         T 2        T 3         T 4        T 5


                   FCF              (3,500)      1,200      1,150      1,450       1,300      1,000


                   The company’s cost of capital is 10%.

                   Required:

                   Calculate the project’s Macaulay duration, and modified duration.


                   Solution

                   The project’s Macaulay duration is calculated by first calculating the
                   discounted cash flow for each future year, and then weighting each discounted
                   cash flow according to its time of receipt, as follows:


                   $000               T 1        T 2        T 3        T 4        T 5


                   FCF              1,200      1,150      1,450      1,300      1,000


                   DF @ 10%         0.909      0.826      0.751      0.683      0.621


                   PV               1,091       950       1,089       888        621      Σ = 4,639

                   PV x year        1,091      1,900      3,267      3,552      3,105     Σ = 12,915


                   Macaulay duration = 12,915 / 4,639 = 2.78 years

                   Duration considers the time value of money and all of the cash flows of a
                   project.

                   Also, modified duration is 2.78 / 1.10 = 2.53










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