Page 416 - PM Integrated Workbook 2018-19

Chapter 15

Example 4

Following up from the pay-off table example, Geoffrey’s Ramsbottom’s table
looks as follows:

Daily supply
40 50 60 70
Probability
salads salads salads salads
40 salads 0.10 $80 $0 $(80) $(160)
Daily
demand 50 salads 0.20 $80 $100 $20 $(60)
60 salads 0.40 $80 $100 $120 $40

70 salads 0.30 $80 $100 $120 $140

The manager who employs the maximax criterion is assuming that whatever
action is taken, the best will happen; he/she is a risk taker.

How many salads will he decide to supply?

Here, the highest maximum possible pay-off is $140. We should therefore
decide to supply 70 salads a day.

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