Page 417 - PM Integrated Workbook 2018-19
P. 417

Answers









                   Example 5





                   Following up from the pay-off table example, Geoffrey’s Ramsbottom’s table
                   looks as follows:

                  Daily supply
                                                            40         50          60         70
                                           Probability
                                                          salads     salads      salads     salads
                              40 salads        0.10         $80          $0       $(80)     $(160)
                   Daily
                  demand  50 salads            0.20         $80       $100         $20       $(60)
                              60 salads        0.40         $80       $100        $120        $40

                              70 salads        0.30         $80       $100        $120       $140

                   How many salads should we supply, using the maximin rule?

                   If we decide to supply 40 salads, the minimum pay-off is $80.

                   If we decide to supply 50 salads, the minimum pay-off is $0.


                   If we decide to supply 60 salads, the minimum pay-off is ($80).

                   If we decide to supply 70 salads, the minimum pay-off is $(160).

                   The highest minimum payoff arises from supplying 40 salads.































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