Page 23 - FINAL CFA I SLIDES JUNE 2019 DAY 4
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Session Unit 3:

                                                                                                        12. Hypothesis Testing


       LOS 12.h: Identify the appropriate TS and interpret the results for a HT concerning the equality of the
       population means of 2 at least approximately normally distributed populations, based on independent

       random samples with 1) equal or 2) unequal assumed variances, p. 290

       Example: Difference between means – equal variances: Sue Smith is investigating whether the
       abnormal returns for acquiring firms during merger announcement periods differ for horizontal and

       vertical mergers. She estimates the abnormal returns for a sample of acquiring firms associated with
       horizontal mergers, and those involved in vertical mergers and reported the following:



                                                             Smith assumes that the samples are independent, the

                                                             population means are normally distributed, and the
                                                             population variances are equal.

                                                             Smith calculates the t-statistic as –7.3739! How?


                                                                                           = (64-1)0.0001 + (81-1)0.0004 = 0.0003

                                                                                                        64+81-2


                               =           0.01 – 0.025               =       - 7.3739!         And the df =

                                         0.0003/64 + 0.0003/81                                 n1+n2-2 = 64 + 81 – 2 = 143!)



                                                     Should Smith reject or fail to reject the Ho that the abnormal

                                                     returns to acquiring firms during the announcement period
                                                     are the same for horizontal and vertical mergers?
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