Page 60 - FINAL CFA I SLIDES JUNE 2019 DAY 3
P. 60

Session Unit 3:
       LOS 10.m: Define shortfall risk, calculate
       the safety-first ratio, and select an optimal               10. Common Probability Distributions
       portfolio using Roy’s safety-first criterion,
       p.229






      Shortfall risk is the p that a portfolio value or return will fall below a particular (target) over a given time period.

                                                  Roy’s safety-first criterion – pick one which minimizes return p below
                                                  threshold level:







       Given normally distribution of portfolio,
       then RSFC is:









                                                                          Remember (Sharpe Ratio, p150?)
      Compare to z:
      Observations?
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