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June 26 to July 2 : Weekly News Magazine
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                            SOCIETY


















                                                       Recession




                                                                          is here















          Unlike Mumbai, no hordes of brightly uniformed bedecked  registered looms. The export basket has a bit of horticulture as well.
          young  women  are  seen  protesting  over  their  pink  slips  in  Almonds, walnuts, saffron from Kashmir and apricots from Kargil are
          Srinagar. But over the last few months, hundreds have lost  the chief export items. Interestingly, all these items are witnessing a
          jobs and many more are waiting for the last instalments of the  fall in foreign earnings even though the quantum of exports has
          wages they earn as weavers, dyers, dryers and cleaners.  increased.
                                                             “For  an  export  volume  of  31436  metric  tones  in  2006-07  our
          White  man’s  liquidity  crunch  has  triggered  a  crisis  in  Kashmir’s  earnings were Rs. 155.52 crores. But in 2007-08 when the volume
          disorganised  export  sector  that  incidentally  is  around  Rs  1200  went up to 44606 metric tones the earnings were only Rs. 77.38
          crores strong.   “Many tiny units in the cottage sector have closed  crores,” an official in Horticulture department said.  The trend had
          down and many more are expecting in coming days,” says Naseer  started well before the slowdown crept in. From Rs. 122.54 crores in
          Ahmad Shah, a handicraft exporter.                 2004-05, the agricultural exports touched Rs. 156.55 crores in 2005-
                                                             06 only to dip to Rs. 155.52 crores in 2006-07 and to an all time low of
          J&K’s export basket mainly contains handicrafts. In the last financial  Rs.  77.38  crores  in  2007-08,  according  the  state’s  Horticulture
          year, officials say, the handicraft exports stood at Rs 887 crores with  Planning and Marketing department’s outpost in Delhi.  (See details
          hand-made  carpets  making  the  most.  The  carpets,  a  Kashmir  on Index page)
          specialty, have a small high-end market mostly in the West and  The government is yet to collate the export data for the current
          Middle East.                                       financial year but the trend is not encouraging. Walnut is hit hard. EU
          Shah  says  he  is  frustrated.  “All  the  exporters  have  their  capital  that was consuming almost two-third of walnut from Kashmir reports
          blocked  as  there  are  no  sales,”  he  said.  “Whoever  is  buying  a demand of barely 10 percent now. Reason: USA, world’s largest
          handicrafts chooses the low-cost that Kashmir does not make.”  walnut  producer,  hit  by  recession  in  its  domestic  markets  has
          With dried up sales, the currency cycle has taken a hit. “We have no  exported nuts to EU countries at one-third of the price. This has dried
          money to pay the suppliers and they are unable to pay the artisans  up the demand for Kashmir exports.  Saffron is the only commodity
          as a result of which lot of people are thinking of switching over to  that is better placed this year. It is because of crop failure in Iran, the
          other trades to keep their hearths burning,” says Shah. This, Shah  major Saffron producer, and a low yield back home.
          says, is a adding to the crisis. “We are already face to face with the  Traders however say the horticulture sector will sail through despite
          problem of artisans’ families opting for non-handicraft trades. If the  its problems as in items like walnut the demand is consistent though
          global meltdown forces the artisans to leave handicrafts we may  prices are not as encouraging in the domestic market. “The real
          lose a huge craft that over the ages has emerged part of our identity.” crisis is in handicrafts”, says Dr Mubin Shah, president Kashmir
                                                             Chamber of Commerce and Industry (KCCI).
          A globetrotter, Shah is busy meeting artisans and policy makers to  KCCI has met almost all the policy makers in the state to find a way
          manage  a  way  out.    Before  the  global  recession  could  hit  the  pout, but the responses are not encouraging. So far J&K Bank has
          handicraft  sector,  terror  attacks  in  Mumbai  had  already  dented  acknowledged  the  problem  probably  because  it  has  most  of  its
          carpet industry as foreign arrivals dwindled.  Though handicrafts are  investments within the state and stabilising the economy will help it
          totally  dependent  on  exports,  it  provides  livelihood  to  tens  of  to sustain its growth story. “We are aware of the problem,” Tafazul
          thousands of people within Srinagar and its peripheries. Around 350  Hussain, a top executives of the bank said. “We are working on a
          thousand  people,  mostly  artisans,  are  engaged  in  this  sector  in  livelihood product that will help artisans to sustain the crisis triggered
          Kashmir,  of  which  carpets  alone  employs  150,000  in  30,000  by the meltdown”.
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