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Phase








 4x  Problems &   Inception  Elaboration & Construction                                           Transition &

 Opportunities                                                                                       Evolution




 2 - 4x  2 - 1.5x        1.5 – 1.25x








                                Themes, Epics and initial story

                                set known, as is the team, the

 2x                                 tech stack and approach.
                                  Estimate variability further

                               reduced at a relatively low cost.


 1.5x









 1.25x

 1x
 .8x








 .67x




 Estimate Variability


 .5x























 .25x
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