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4x

                           2x
                                                                                                                                                                                   Operating Cost
                        1.5x




                       1.25x
                          1x






                             Confidence factor in estimation













                                                                                                                                                                                   Reduction in risk











                                          Annually                    Quarterly              1-2% project effort        5-10% project effort       10-15% effort                         70-80% project effort                         5-10% project effort
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Time
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Transition
                             New Phases  (Baseline current state of   (Construct VMOST(s) – Plan for   (Rapidly ensure idea is viable   (Rapidly form a team, agree   (Alpha – Prove the   (Beta – Deliver features to live frequently to maximise ROI)  (Close down and handover)  As long as viable
                                                                                                                             Inception
                                                                        Vision
                                           Insight
                                                                                                                                                    Elaboration
                                                                                                  Discovery
                                                                                                                                                                                             Construction
                                                                Feature delivery + Business
                                                                                                                       the delivery plan, cost, tech
                                                                                                                                                   team, tech and
                                       business, tech and
                                                                                                 at a low cost)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Evolution
                                        opportunities)
                                                                                                                                                   plan will work!)
                                                                                                                        used, release approach)
                                                                     and IT change)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      (Gamma - Keep delivering value at a time when risk is lowest and estimation is at its greatest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         accuracy)
                  Example of   current   phased   approach  Annual Budget                   Request for work           Analysis and Design                                       Build (Dev/Test)                                      Support Handover



                                                                                                                                                                            New – “Beta” delivery introduces the ability to                           New – “Gamma” delivery (Evolution) replaces

                                                                                                                                                      “Alpha”              iteratively release features throughout delivery.                         warranty and allows work to continue if value
                                                                                                                                                 deliverable allows          Maximises customer feedback, revenue and                              delivered exceeds both the cost of delivery and the
                                                                                                                                                 risks to be known          minimises building the wrong thing, i.e allows                          value of the next prioritised item on the backlog
                                                                                                                                                   at the earliest           delivery to pivot away from features with no                                          (Chase successes!)
                                                                                                                                                 point of delivery.                             value.
                                                                                                                                                     (Fail fast!)




                             Checkpoints                                      budgets raised for 12         Seed funding, e.g.          Funding, e.g. “We  Stop here if Alpha                                             Cost versus value                                                                  validate features
                                                                                  Delivery Team
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Continuously
                                                                                  identified and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              delivered
                                                                                                            “We think this is a
                                                                                                                                                            fails! 75%+ of
                                                                                                                                        now know more.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               delivered to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           validated after
                                                                                                             £500k project,
                                                                                                                                                             budget still
                                                                                 months, e.g. “£2
                                                                                 million to fund 2           over 6 months,             We think this is a  available to spend                                            every iteration to                                                                   ensure value
                                                                                                                                          £650k project,
                                                                                teams as we think          returning £2m p.a;           over 7-8 months,   elsewhere.  NB In                                              ensure financials                                                                 delivered is higher
                                                                               this will provide a £x         so we want to              returning £1.7m      a waterfall                                                 are sound, if not                                                                   than anything
                                                                                  million return.            drawdown £50k              p.a.  We’d like to   process this risk                                             “pivot”, i.e. stop                                                                else, stop when
                                                                                                           to come back with              proceed/stop”      wouldn’t be                                                  and do something                                                                       not true.
                                                                                                              a plan in 2-3                               realised until the                                               more valuable.
                                                                                                             weeks to prove                                end of delivery,
                                                                                                                  this.”                                  i.e. 90% of budget
                                                                                                                                                            already gone.
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