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hen the global financial     couples, millennial buyers and those   credit scrutiny and general lending
                                                                                                                                       crisis began in 2007, the    with a less established credit history,   policy, most homeowners may not
                                                                                                                               Wearly tremors remained              were routinely priced-out of the     need such large loans to secure their
                                                                                                                               below the surface for quite some     marketplace.                         dream home after all. This puts those
                                                                                                                               time. With subprime mortgages          Foreign investments in Australian   currently in the market for a home in a
                                                                                                                               being bundled and sold in bulk       homes only fueled the fire higher still,   favourable position to find real estate
                                                                                                                               below the radar, the collapse of     alongside historically low interest   deals that are more affordable today
                                                                                                                               U.S. investment banking institution   rates. Suddenly though, the picture is   than they were just 12 months ago.
                                                                                                                               Lehman Brothers on September         changing (never a dull moment when     This is particularly significant
                                                                                                                               15, 2008 finally catalysed a global   it comes to macroeconomics!) and it’s   considering the rapid pace of
                                                                                                                               recession that had been in the       once again time to take stock of the   economic growth in Australia over the
                                                                                                                               works for long before global         landscape as it exists here and now.   last five years. It’s quite remarkable to
                                                                                                                               markets were sent into their                                              find that prices are now beginning to
                                                                                                                               dizzying tailspin.                   Tightening Credit                    drop, even if slightly and gradually.
                                                                                                                                  As this collapse began to impact   Policy                                As reported in The Sydney Morning
                                                                                                                               financial markets, (here’s a wonderful   Amidst all of this growth, the   Herald as early as mid-September
       HOW TO BENEFIT                                                                                                          the impact of this global financial   has continued to tighten lending    capital cities are steadily declining for
                                                                                                                               chart that helps to contextualise
                                                                                                                                                                    Australian Royal Banking Commission
                                                                                                                                                                                                         2018, home prices in Australia’s
                                                                                                                                                                    policy to bolster its new and
                                                                                                                               crisis over time) the Australia Stock
                                                                                                                                                                                                         the first time since 2012.
                                                                                                                               Exchange (ASX) took a direct hit that
                                                                                                                                                                                                           The Reserve Bank of Australia
                                                                                                                                                                    outspoken positions on responsible
       FROM TODAY’S                                                                                                            closely emulated the decline in the   lending, making securing credit an   made headlines when they released
                                                                                                                                                                    intensive and detailed process that
                                                                                                                                                                                                         minutes that declared the following:
                                                                                                                               U.S. marketplace.
                                                                                                                                                                    now requires heightened financial
                                                                                                                                  Fast forward to our current market
                                                                                                                               conditions a decade later, and the
                                                                                                                                                                    awareness.
                                                                                                                                                                                                            “Established housing
                                                                                                                                                                      While this may help to alleviate
       RESIDENTIAL                                                                                                             way, with investors and homeowners   future financial risk over the long-term,   market conditions overall
                                                                                                                               momentum has swung back the other
                                                                                                                               enjoying powerful market gains across
                                                                                                                                                                    it also makes it increasingly difficult for
                                                                                                                                                                                                           continued to ease. […]
                                                                                                                                                                    those in need of a loan to understand
                                                                                                                               major indexes, resulting in a ferocious
                                                                                                                                                                    what financial factors they need to
                                                                                                                               bull run that has only just shown signs
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Housing prices had been
       MARKET                                                                                                                  of slowing within the last few months.  calculate and how they can position   falling gradually in Sydney
                                                                                                                                                                    themselves for success amidst these
                                                                                                                               Australian Home
                                                                                                                                                                    rapid changes.
                                                                                                                                                                                                             and Melbourne, and
                                                                                                                               Owners Market
       VOLATILITY                                                                                                              In the Australian market, and        Falling Home Prices                    in recent months price
                                                                                                                                                                    While credit policy has been
                                                                                                                               specifically the Australian property
                                                                                                                                                                                                            declines had become
                                                                                                                                                                    tightening, average home prices
                                                                                                                               market, this bull run gained particular
                                                                                                                                                                    have been falling and it seems that
                                                                                                                               strength from 2015 onward, peaking
                                                                                                                                                                                                           more widespread across
                                                                                                                               in mid-2017. Current homeowners
                                                                                                                               enjoyed marvelous appreciation of    the real estate bubble is beginning to   different suburbs and price
                                                                                                                                                                    pop (or at least shrink). This means
        UNDERSTANDING THE CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS.                                                                           home value, while those still looking   that although it’s harder to secure
                                                                                                                               to purchase a home, such as young    sizable loans based on more intensive          segments.”
       40  WORD OF MOUTH      SUMMER 18/19                                                                                                                                                            WORD OF MOUTH      SUMMER 18/19   41
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