Page 93 - Fortune-November 01, 2018
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       MARGARE T BOURKE-W HI TE—T IME & LIFE PIC T URES/GE T T Y IM AGES


              Full Employment?                                       ECONOMY   WHEN UNEMPLOYMENT fell to
                                                                               3.7% in September, the
                                                                   lowest in almost 50 years, it was hard to
              The Economy Isn’t                                    know whether to cheer or tremble. A
                                                                   white-hot labor market means it’s easy to get
              Acting Like It                                       a healthy raise, which many workers could
                                                                   certainly use. Booyah! Except that whenever
                                                                   unemployment has fallen anywhere near
              Low levels of joblessness have historically          this low in the past 60 years, a recession has
              preceded catastrophe. But maybe not this time.       inevitably followed, often very quickly, and
                                                                   inflation has usually surged. No bueno.
              By Geoff Colvin





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