Page 15 - Bloomberg Businessweek - November 19, 2018
P. 15

Bloomberg Businessweek                     The Year Ahead 2019                         Introduction


        Growth Outlook 2019








        Circle size corresponds to size of economy
        (2019 forecast)
                                                                         Brazil  ⑦
                                                                         $1.9t
                                                    South Africa
                                                      $0.4t
                                                                                    New Zealand
                                                                                       $0.2t       Colombia
                                                                                                     $0.4t
                                                 ⑥


                                                U.K.                    Mexico
                                                $2.8t                    $1.2t
                               ①
                                                                                             Australia                 Peru
                                                  France                      South           $1.5t                   $0.2t
                                                                              Korea
                  Japan         Italy  ②           $2.8t                      $1.7t
                  $5.2t         $2.1t                        Canada
                                                              $1.8t
                                                                           U.S.
                                           Russia  Germany               $21.5t
                                           $1.6t   $4.1t   Spain
    8                                               ⑤       $1.5t
                                            ④                                       Singapore
                                                                             ⑧        $0.4t
                                                            Saudi Arabia
                                                               $0.8t




        ① Japanese       ② Italy’s         ③ Turkey’s lira   ④ Russia’s oil         Chile      ⑤ German
        Prime Minister   new populist      will struggle    output is the           $0.3t      Chancellor
        Shinzo Abe says   government is    unless the       highest of the                     Angela Merkel’s
        the national     wrestling with    country can      post-Soviet era.                   decision not
        sales tax will rise   the European   slow inflation,   Energy accounts                 to run again
        to 10 percent    Union’s executive   which ran at   for almost half                    as head of
        in October,      arm over the      25 percent a     of government                      the Christian
        from 8 percent   country’s plan for   year in October.   revenue.                      Democratic
        now, barring a   deficit spending.                                                     Union raises
        “Lehman level”                                                                         questions about
        crisis.                                                                                Germany’s
                                                                                               positions on
                                                                                               euro area reform
                                                                                               and immigration.



                           Turkey
                           $0.6t

                                ③
        0                                                    2%
       △ Forecasted 2019 GDP growth
   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20