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South African Pavement Engineering Manual
                                              Chapter 10:  Pavement Design

              If the survey period is fully representative of the traffic conditions for the full year, then the ADE equals the AADE.
              However, if the survey period is not representative of the traffic conditions for the full year, the ADE needs to be
              carefully converted to the AADE.  Figure 22 illustrates two different ADEs determined from different surveys on the
              same route.   In situations like this, the ADE needs to  be  adjusted to account for the  variations,  as  discussed  in
              Section 4.4.
                                                                 ADE from Survey A


                               Number of Daily E80s per Lane  Survey   ADE from Survey B

                                    Traffic

                                       A







                                     True AADE
                                                                     Traffic
                                                                     Survey
                                                                       B


                                                                 One Year, or 365 Day Period

                                Figure 22.  Potential Deviation of the ADE from the AADE

              4.4  Traffic Loading Variation

              Variations in traffic loading occur over the short or long-term:
              •  Short-term variations  occur  within  a  year.    Seasonal  variations  are
                 recurring periodic patterns occurring each year, and are usually related to   Traffic Surveys
                 weather or agricultural activities, such as planting and harvesting.  Periods
                 of exceptionally low traffic activity may also occur when economic activity   Great care must be taken to
                 is halted at a specific time of the year.  Corrections for seasonal variation   ensure that traffic during the
                 and  exceptional periods are  made  using  adjustment  factors,  but  should   survey period is representative
                 only be applied if they are expected to occur each year for the duration of   of the traffic during the year.
                 the design life of the facility.
              •  Long-term variations include changes in traffic volumes and loading of vehicles over a period longer than a
                 year.    Traffic  volume  changes  are  affected  by  a  host  of  factors,  for  example,  population  growth  or  decline,
                 establishment of new industries such as mines and quarries, long-term construction programmes and economic
                 recessions.  Traffic volumes and vehicle loading are also influenced by changes in the way the preference shifts
                 between different transportation modes, particularly road, rail and pipeline.

              Three main factors influence the equivalent standard axles per heavy vehicle:
              •  Improved vehicle design leads to changes in the type and size of heavy vehicles.
              •  Efficient management of road transport, i.e., fewer  vehicles running  empty and  better utilisation of vehicle
                 capacity.
              •  Level of overloading control.

              Changes in Government regulations and policies, such as changes in the legal
              axle load or gross vehicle mass of vehicles, and deregulation of road transport   Adjustments for Long-
              have a  significant  effect on traffic loading.  The degree to which law   Term Variations
              enforcement  is  applied  to  overloading  also  has  a  significant  effect  on  the   Adjustments for long-term
              loading per vehicle.                                              variations are complex.
                                                                                Adjustment factors should be
                                                                                developed over at least a five
                                                                                year period.


                                              Section 4:  Design Traffic Estimation
                                                         Page 38
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