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                Quitting Persia for the opposite shore, Koweit to the north-west may be considered
             preferable to Know for landing the telegraph cable : it is doubtful if your telegraph clerks
             could survive at Faow, or at any other point in the Delta, through a long unhealthy season.
             It is also, 1 hear, doubtful if the cable could be stretched over the breadth of soft mud
             belting the Delta sea line. Koweit is healthy, easily approached, and on the direct road
             for Kornah, at the confluence of the Tigris and Euphrates.
                Koweit is, perhaps, the natural terminus for your sea-going steamers : as compared
             with Busrch it would save 70 miles of river navigation, and a long shallow entrance chan­
             nel, and a bar. Busrch is very unhealthy moreover. Koweit is greatly more convenient
             for colliers and a coal dcp6t. A boat canal might readily connect Koweit and kornah,
             or any other point cn the Shaat-ul-Arab. The canal cutting would itself tend to regene­
             rate the once fruitful soil along its banks.
                Koweit was the entrepot of the commerce of the east and west from the most ancient
                                           times of which we have record: it may be
                                                 ,hat mo,t!ern ci(rcrs,ances ar,e d,ffi'rcnt:
             x:'\zus?                      but if you will carefully examine the question,
             Media.
                                           you may be struck with the fact that, taking the
             trade of the east and west in its large sense, from China to Western Europe, and explor­
             ing its ramifications during a succession of centuries between those meridians, there is a
             marked tendency in trade to retrace its old lines under improved means of transit.
                Is it possible so to arrange as that your .line of trade, telegraph, and coal depots and
             political residencies along the entire Gulf line may be coincident, and so preclude neces­
             sity for change as the line becomes thoroughly developed ? Perhaps this might be accom­
             plished by selecting Cassab. A1 Mussundoom, as your point of entrance. The square-
             rigged ocean trade should then concentre there at a free port. Goods could be distributed
             round the Gulf in native craft or small steamers, tug or otherwise. Koweit would be the
             spot where the trade would take to river boats or caravans ; and where your last Sea Coal
             Depot and your first land Telegraph Station would be established.
                In providing for this line and reconsidering our position in the Persian Gulf, we might
             not be content with contemplating the present condition of affairs alone ; we might throw a
             forward glance over fifteen years or so, and reflect whether, during that period, the Turkish
             question must not pass through a crisis affecting our eastern interests ; whether, during
             that period, the reforms going on in Russia may not give to that free nation an impetus of
             expansion eastward, more rapid, more permanent, and more powerful, than any that we
             have yet had to apprehend from the arms of Russian serfs ; whether countries, like Italy,
             now awakening to fresh industrial life, may not within that time claim to partake with us
             of Asiatic sources of wealth ; whether the molecular movements perceptible everywhere,
             in Southern Central Asia itself, may not give those countries an unprecedented importance
             for evil or for good ; whether it is possible, lastly, that'Persia, now padded by Turkey, can
             be laid bare to the probe of European civilization, in her western side, and remain what
            she now is ? Are all these shadows, or are they giants coming in the distance, whom we
             must be prepared to meet?
                Be they what they may, as discerned from the political horizon, their arrival could
            scarcely be otherwise than beneficial to the trade, and, let us hope, to the people of
            Southern Central Asia; and it is from this trade point of view alone that I presume to cast
            a passing glance into a future, which Government must foresee from a far higher induction
            of causes than I can pretend to be informed of.
                    Abstract statement of the estimated Exports and Imports at Bushire.


                      Exports.        Rupees.         Imports.         Rupees.


            To Bombay, about ten lakhs ...  10,00.000  From Bomhay, thirty-seven lakhs   37,00,000
            To Jawa, about three and half lakhs...  3.5°.000   From Java, ten lakhs   10,00,000
            To Jedda, about one lakh and eighty   x,80,000  From Jedda, Nil   ...
              thousand.

               Total approximate Export about   15,30,000  Total approximate Imports about   47,00,000
                fifteen lakhs and thirty thousand   forty-seven lakhs Rupees.
                Rupees.


                                              (Sd.) Lewis Pelly, Lieut.^Colonel,
                                                          Acting Political Resident,
            C645FD
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