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Infrared imaging
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     1.1.1
 2.2.32.3.6




       What is the El Ni  Southern Oscillation?ño


          Perhaps the most important global   Peruvian fisherman who no ced a warm   Using historical evidence and other
       climate phenomenon a er the annual   current appearing along their shores just   climate data (see pages 74-75)
       change in the seasons has its origins in   before Christmas. Its original name, El   climatologists and oceanographers now
       the Pacific Ocean. The El Niño Southern   Niño de Navidad, was a reference to the   recognise that a full El Niño Oscilla on
       Oscilla on (ENSO) has the ability to   birth of the Christ child.       event may last any me between two and
       change global atmospheric circula on,                                   seven years.
                                              In the 1920s, meteorologist Gilbert
       which in turn can alter the weather across   Walker iden fied a repeated, if   Each phase may be considered to be
       the en re planet.
                                           unpredictable, shi  in the atmospheric   strong or weak, measured using a range
          ENSO is a single phenomenon which   circula on across the Pacific region. This   of atmospheric and oceanic indicators,
       links both the ocean and atmosphere   became known as the Walker Circula on.   called the Mul variate ENSO Index.
       across the South Pacific. It has three   It was not un l much later, in the   The El Niño events of 1982-83, 1997-
       phases through which it changes: El Niño   1960s, that meteorologist Jacob Bjerknes   98 and 2015-16 are considered to be the
       and La Niña, as well as a Neutral phase,   suggested a physical mechanism   three strongest on record. The impacts of
       somewhere in the middle of the ENSO   connec ng the atmospheric changes of   ENSO can be felt across the globe
       con nuum.
                                           the Walker Circula on with changes in sea   thousands of miles from the Pacific
          El Niño was first given its name by   water temperatures found with El Niño.  Ocean.
      The Neutral phase
                                                                   Walker Circula on
         In the western Pacific Ocean,
       warm tropical waters at average
       temperatures lead to rising air,
       low pressure and rain over
       eastern Australia, New Guinea
       and Indonesia.  Trade winds of
       average strength blow across the
       Pacific Ocean from the east and
       warm water accumulates in the
       western Pacific.  On the South
       American coast an upwelling of
       cold, nutrient rich water
       dominates the coastal area and
       suppresses evapora on.            Fig.251 The south and central Pacific during the neutral phase of ENSO.

       The El Niño event


         The El Niño phase of ENSO starts with a warming
      of the ocean surface in the central and eastern
      tropical Pacific Ocean. The Trade Winds, which
      normally blow from east to west, are reduced or
      even reversed; now blowing from west to
      east. Rainfall decreases over Indonesia
      and Australia. Warm surface water
      flows across the Pacific Ocean,
      accumula ng off the coast of
      South America.
         This warm water prevents
      the upwelling of cold water
      along this coast associated with         Fig.252 The south and central Pacific during the El Niño  phase of ENSO.
      the Humboldt Current. Without the upwelling of cold,
      nutrient rich waters, the food chains in these          The warm water results in warmed air rising off its surface,
      normally rich waters begin to break down, affec ng the   crea ng an area of low pressure. This may bring heavy rain
      shoals of anchovies, predatory fish, sea birds and sea lions.   and flooding to Peru and Ecuador.


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       Drought can be devastating for people and the environment.
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