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Dried river bed
      2.3.5






      How did El Ni o bring drought to Southern Africa?ñ


          ENSO may have its origins in the
       Pacific buts it effects are felt across the
       globe. The 2015-16 El Niño event was
       the strongest on record. It brought
       drought condi ons to a vast area
       stretching from Australasia through
       South East Asia and the Indian subcon-
        nent and down through east Africa to
       southern Africa and Madagascar.
          The drought in Southern Africa was
       the most severe in 35 years, according
       to the United Na ons. With two years
       of crops devastated, the impact of the
       drought was s ll being felt a er the
       harvest which started in April 2017.
          By the end of 2016 some 23 million
       people had been affected. This number
       had increased further prior to the
       harvest of 2017 and the end of the lean
       season as food prices con nued to rise.
          The 2016 maize harvest was 9.3
       million tonnes short of that required to                                             abnormally dry
       feed the popula on. Other cereal                                                     moderate drought
       harvests were down by over 4 million                                                 severe drought
       tonnes. The result was rising food
       prices across the region but there were                                              extreme drought
       no rises in wages to pay for food.
                                                                                            excep onal drought
          As with all droughts it was first the        Fig.256 Drought map for southern Africa, January 2016.
       rural poor and then the urban poor
       who suffered the most. In a region   living in urban areas, meat consump-  infec ons. This increases the risks
       where two thirds of people s ll rely on    on has risen across the con nent.   associated with hunger, malnutri on
       agriculture for their livelihoods, the   Pastoral farming has become more   and water-borne diseases, as well as
       2015-16 El Niño event became a ma er   important; raising livestock cons tutes   weakening the ability to recover.
       of life and death for millions.     40% of the local agricultural economy.
                                           The loss of so many animals and      KEY TERMS
          The loss of pasture and the drying
                                           income during the drought will be felt
       up of streams and watering holes saw
                                           for years to come.                   Drought: a period of below average
       much of the regions livestock waste                                      rainfall outside the normal climatic
       away. Weakened ca le became           Children were badly affected by the   patterns resulting in a significant decline
       suscep ble to outbreaks of disease.   drought. By the end of 2016, 580,000   in soil moisture .
       Over 640,000 farmed animals died    children were suffering from the      Tropical Revolving Storm: also called
       during the drought, devasta ng the   effects of severe acute malnutri on.   cyclones, hurricanes and typhoons, these
       pastoral farming communi es in      Three million had reduced access to   are intense low pressure weather systems
       Botswana, Swaziland, South Africa,   safe drinking water.                fuelled by warm sea temperatures and
       Namibia and Zimbabwe.                 Hunger and lack of water forced    producing high winds and heavy rain.
          In recent years, with more people   many children out of school. For some    ENSO: the El Niño  Southern Oscillation
                                           this was the result of illness, while for   involves changes in the Trade Winds and
          Fig.257 South Africa’s Oliphants River, 2015.  others it was lack of funds to pay school   the temperature of the surface waters of
                                           fees, or the need to work to help    the Pacific Ocean. The three phases of
                                           support their families. In Malawi,   ENSO (Neutral, El Niño  and La Niña ) can
                                           137,000 primary school children      influence the global climate.
                                           dropped out of school.               Coriolis Force: the spin induced in winds
                                                                                and water moving across the surface of
                                             In many of the drought areas, large   the Earth induced by the differential rates
                                           numbers are already living with HIV   of rotation between the Equator and the
                                                                                Poles.

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       Drought can be devastating for people and the environment.
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