Page 10 - Caucasus Outlook 2023
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2.0 Macroeconomic Outlook







        2.1 Macroeconomy - Georgia






         Georgia: key economic figures and forecasts

                                            2016      2017      2018      2019       2020      2021       2022

         Nominal GDP (EUR bn)               84.7      102.3     113.0     138.9     153.3      193.2      228.9

         Real GDP (% y/y)                   2.9%      4.8%      4.8%      5.0%      -6.8%      10.5%     10.2%

         Industrial output (% y/y)


         Unemployment rate (avg, %)         21.7       21.6      19.2      17.6    18.5         20.6      21.1


         Nominal industrial wages (% y/y)

         Producer prices (avg, % y/y)      99.9%     111.0%    106.1%    107.2%     108.6%    116.7%

         Consumer prices (avg, % y/y)       2.1%      6.0%      2.6%      4.9%       5.2%      9.6%      11.9%

         Consumer prices (eop, % y/y)       1.8%      6.7%      1.5%      7.0%       2.4%      13.9%      9.2%

         General budget balance (% of GDP)  -2.8%     -2.7%     -2.3%     -2.1%     -9.3%      -6.1%     -3.1%


         Public debt (% of GDP)             40.3%     39.4%     38.9%     40.4%     60.2%      49.7%     39.6%
         Current account balance (% of GDP)  -12.5%   -8.0%     -6.8%     -5.8%     -12.5%    -10.4%     -7.1%


         Official FX reserves (EUR bn)

         Gross foreign debt (% of GDP)

         EUR/LC (avg)                      2.3667     2.5086   2.5345     2.8192  3.1097     3.2209      3.1712

         USD/LC (avg)                      2.6172     2.8322    2.9913    3.1553  3.5519     3.8140      2.9685

         Source: Geostat, Galt & Taggart












                               2.1.1 GDP growth


                               Georgia’s economy boasted one of the highest growth rates in the
                               world in 2022 as many countries buckled up for recession, and the lari
                               was one of the few emerging markets currencies to gain value against a




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