Page 14 - AfrOil Week 50 2020
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AfrOil                                            POLICY                                               AfrOil
















                                            The Central Bank’s internationally recognised branch is in Tripoli (Image: CBL.gov.ly)
       ICG: Questions about handling




       of Libyan oil revenues persist






             LIBYA       THE ceasefire deal that has allowed Libya to   these funds.
                         bring more than 1mn barrels per day (bpd)   GNA adopted this new procedure without
                         of crude oil production capacity back online   taking legal, regulatory or administrative steps
                         since September may soon founder, owing to   to retire the old payment mechanisms, ICG
                         questions about the handling of petroleum   reported. It also did so on a temporary basis,
                         revenues, according to the International Crisis   saying that the new arrangement would remain
                         Group (ICG).                         in place for 120 days, on the assumption that the
                           Last week, ICG, a Brussels-based non-gov-  parties would be able to make substantial pro-
                         ernmental organisation (NGO), reported that   gress towards the formation of a new govern-
                         the parties to the ceasefire were not making   ment and the reunification of the Central Bank’s
                         much progress in talks on the formation of a   two branches before the end of the year. As the
                         new unity government and the consolidation   end of the 120-day period approaches, though,
                         of the two branches of Libya’s Central Bank.   a final deal between GNA and LNA remains
                         The bank has been split into two branches since   elusive.
                         2015. One of these is in Tripoli, the home base
                         of the Government of National Accord (GNA),   Central Bank vs. LFB
                         and enjoys widespread international recogni-  In the meantime, the Central Bank has called for
                         tion. The other, which has little recognition, is   the restoration of the previous payment arrange-
                         in the eastern part of the country, where GNA   ments. According to ICG, if GNA acquiesces,
                         holds no sway and the dominant party is the Lib-  LNA might restore the blockade it imposed
                         yan National Army (LNA), a militia headed by   on Libyan oil facilities in January. Such a move
                         Khalifa Haftar.                      would force NOC to cut production and exports
                           These discussions on the reunification of the   once again, while also depriving the country of
                         two branches are likely to affect the oil industry,   crude export earnings.
                         as the Central Bank typically plays a key role in   As such, NOC has made a case for keeping
                         collecting crude export revenues and handing   the new mechanism in place so that production
                         them over to the Libyan government.  operations can continue without any disrup-
                           Until recently, international oil companies   tions. However, this solution presents a different
                         (IOCs) made payments to the Libyan Foreign   problem, as it would prevent the Central Bank
                         Bank (LFB), which then automatically trans-  from receiving the money it needs to make man-
                         ferred the money to its parent organisation,   datory payments to the budget.
                         the Central Bank. During the ceasefire talks   ICG urged the parties to seek a solution to
                         in September, though, GNA agreed to a new   their disagreements over oil revenues, describ-
                         procedure.                           ing the issue as crucial to Libya’s economic and
                           Under the new arrangement, Libya’s National   social functioning.
                         Oil Corp. (NOC) must deposit oil export earn-  “Settling the feud over control of the Libyan
                         ings into its LFB account on a temporary basis   Foreign Bank is urgent, as is finding a compro-
                         and then keep them there until a unity gov-  mise on how to manage Libya’s oil revenues,”
                         ernment can be formed. LNA insisted on this   it said. “To achieve the latter, the two sides will
                         change, noted ICG, because of its long-standing   need to reach a new agreement – one that strikes
                         concerns about the Central Bank’s handling   a balance between, on one hand, providing
                         of crude revenues. Haftar and his allies have   Haftar and his foreign backers with guarantees
                         repeatedly accused the bank of preventing Lib-  that incoming oil sales revenues are safeguarded,
                         ya’s eastern regions, along with other areas out-  and, on the other, tapping oil revenues now to
                         side Tripoli, from collecting their fair share of   cover public expenditures throughout Libya.” ™



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