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2.0 Macroeconomic Outlook







        2.1 Macroeconomy - Czech Republic




         Czechia:  key economic figures and forecasts

                                            2016      2017      2018      2019      2020       2021      2022

         Nominal GDP (EUR bn)               175       190       201        207       190       202        222


         Real GDP (% y/y)                    2.5       5.2       3.2       3.0       -5.5       3.6       2.4

         Industrial output (% y/y)           0.8       7.5       3.5       0.9       -6.1      10.8       1.9

         Unemployment rate (avg, %)          4.0       2.9       2.2       2.0       2.6        3.0

         Nominal industrial wages (%
         y/y)

         Producer prices (avg, % y/y)

         Consumer prices (avg, % y/y)        0.7       2.5       2.1       2.8       3.2        3.8       15.0


         Consumer prices (eop, % y/y)        2.0       2.4       2.0       3.2       2.3        6.6       15.5

         General budget balance (% of        0.7       1.5       0.9       0.3       -5.8      -5.1       -4.6
         GDP)

         Public debt (% of GDP)             36.6      34.2      32.1      30.0       37.7      42.0       42.9

         Current account balance (% of       1.8       1.5       0.4       0.3       2.0       -0.8       -5.1
         GDP)

         Official FX reserves (EUR bn        81       120       125        132       134       153        140
         exc gold)

         Gross foreign debt (% of GDP)      81.3      108.4     106.5     108.0     105.8      107.0      83.3

         CZK/EUR (avg)                     27.03      26.33     25.65     25.67     24.64      25.64     24.60

         CZK/USD (avg)                     24.44      23.37     21.75     22.93     23.21      21.69     23.90


         Source: Thomson Reuters, RBI/Raiffeisen RESEARCH, ING


















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