Page 10 - AfrElec Week 03 2021
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AfrElec                                           ESKOM                                               AfrElec

       Eskom warns of three



       months of power cuts





        SOUTH AFRICA     ESKOM has warned that its current power cuts  One at its 1,800-MW Koeberg NPP after leaks
                         are likely to continue for up to three months as  were found in one of the steam generators.
                         scheduled maintenance as well as unplanned   The company is meeting demand by using
                         outages create a supply deficit of up to 2,000 MW.  pumped storage schemes, which are designed
                           Eskom said that power cuts, known as  for peak periods, for baseload power generation
                         load-shedding, would happen on a weekly basis,  as well.
                         even though demand has slumped because of the   As well as struggling to patch up ageing power
                         coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.     plants, Eskom has debts of ZAR464bn ($30.6bn)
                           The company said in a recent status report  Eskom is about to undergo widespread reforms
                         that its “likely risk scenario” would see a defi-  These include splitting the company into gener-
                         cit of more than 2,001 MW over the next three  ation, transmission and distribution units and
                         months.                              allowing private generators to enter the market.
                           Eskom also said that even if there were few   The company is also having to juggle sudden
                         unplanned outages, what it calls the “planned  outages with its ongoing maintenance sched-
                         risk level”, it still expects shortages 50% of the  ule, which aims to undertake overdue repairs at
                         time. It could also fail to meet demand the rest  many elderly coal-fired power plants.
                         of the time too.                       Summer usually sees peak demand loads, and
                           Over the past week there have been continued  Eskom is confident that the risk of power cuts
                         power cuts, with up to 2,000 MW of generating  will be significantly reduced by September.
                         capacity unexpectedly offline. This includes   However, the company has warned cus-
                         units at the flagship Kusile power plant and even  tomers that its system remains vulnerable and
                         the Koeberg nuclear power plant (NPP) near  unpredictable, urging the public to reduce
                         Cape Town, which is usually seen as a reliable  electricity consumption to help it minimise
                         baseload supplier.                   load-shedding.™
                           At the start of January, Eskom closed Unit
                                                         FUELS


       Botswana downplays risk of fuel shortages




        BOTSWANA         MMETIA Masire, the permanent secretary  local fuel market to monitor supply conditions.
                         of Botswana’s Ministry of Mineral Resources,  The government is ready to take measures to
                         Green Technology and Energy Security, said  address shortages, including withdrawals from
                         last week that he did not expect developments in  strategic petroleum product stocks, he declared.
                         South Africa’s downstream sector to lead to fuel  He cautioned, though, that inventory draws
                         shortages in his own country.        would only be considered if supply shortfalls
                           In a ministry press release, Masire noted  became serious.
                         that two of South Africa’s four oil refineries had   In the meantime, he said, the government is
                         halted production within the last year because of  urging consumers to avoid hoarding and panic
                         accidents. These shutdowns have had an effect  buying.
                         on the volume of South African petroleum prod-  Masire was speaking not long after Citac, a
                         ucts delivered to Botswana, he acknowledged.  UK-based consultancy that monitors Africa’s
                         He also stressed, though, that Botswana Oil Ltd  downstream sector, said it did not expect to
                         (BOL), the national oil company (NOC), was  see the idle South African refineries return to
                         working to make up for this shift by importing  full capacity until 2022. These two plants, Citac
                         more fuel from Namibia and Mozambique.  noted, account for 43% of the country’s total
                           This strategy appears to be effective, the  refining capacity of about 500,000 bpd. It was
                         permanent secretary said. “South Africa has  referring to the 120,000 barrel per day (bpd) bpd
                         reduced its ration of fuel supply to the southern  facility owned by Engen Holdings, an affiliate of
                         African countries by almost 40% due to the clo-  Malaysia’s Petronas, in Durban and the 100,000
                         sure of some its refineries,” he was quoted as say-  bpd refinery in Cape Town owned by Astron
                         ing in the press release. “Nevertheless, currently  Energy, a unit of the Anglo-Swiss commodities
                         all our filling stations throughout the country  trading firm Glencore.
                         still [have] sufficient fuel supply.”  Botswana has traditionally been dependent
                           He further stated that his ministry was work-  on South Africa for most of its petroleum prod-
                         ing closely with BOL and other players in the  uct supplies.™



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