Page 21 - bne IntelliNews Georgia country report October 2017
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Georgia,   China   sign FTA   in   Eurasian first
Nevertheless,   Georgia   continues   to   run   a   high   trade   deficit.   It   amounted   to $3.2bn   in   the   first   eight   months   of   this   year,   and   the   financing   of   it   continues   to weigh   on   Tbilisi's   sovereign   balance   sheet.   An   energy-import-dependent country,   Georgia's   foreign   trade   deficit   has   long   been   an   issue   for   its government.   Boosting   exports   and   import   substitution   form   part   of   Tbilisi's efforts   to   ensure   sustainable   economic   growth.
Countries   in   the   surrounding   Commonwealth   of   Independent   States   (CIS), particularly   Turkey,   Russia   and   Azerbaijan,   accounted   for   the   largest   share   of Georgia's   trade   in   the   eight-month   period   -   31.9%,   followed   by   the   EU   with 28.4%.
However,   China   is   becoming   an   increasingly   important   trading   partner   for Georgia.   In   the   given   period,   it   was   the   third   most   important   source   of   imports after   Turkey   and   Russia   and   the   third   largest   export   destination.   Beijing   has now   overtaken   neighbour   Azerbaijan,   which   provides   a   large   share   of Georgia's   oil   and   gas,   as   the   third   most   important   trading   partner   after   Russia and   Turkey.
Commodities   like   copper   ore   and   ferro-alloys   topped   the   list   of   Georgia's   top exports,   followed   by   car   re-exports,   wine   and   pharmaceuticals.   Conversely,   the top   import   product   categories   comprised   oil   and   petroleum,   motor   cars, pharmaceuticals,   copper   ore   and   concentrate,   telephones   and   wheat.
Georgia   and   China   signed   a   bilateral   free   trade   agreement   (FTA)   on   May 13,   six   months   after   finalising   negotiations,   according   to   civil.ge.    The agreement   is   expected   to   take   effect   at   the   end   of   2017   or   in   early   2018.   Once it   does,   Georgia   will   exempt   some   96.5%   of   Chinese   products   from   tariffs, while   China   will   do   the   same   for   90.0%   of   Georgian   exports.
The   negotiations   on   the   FTA   took   less   than   a   year   and   the   agreement represents   China's   first   in   the   Eurasian   region.
5.1.2    Current   account   dynamics
5.1.3    Capital   flows
The   country   has   run   high   current   account   deficits   (CAD).   In   2016,   the CAD   amounted   to   13.3%   of   GDP,    while   the   average   in   countries   within   the same   ratings   category   is   2.4%   of   GDP.   While   Tbilisi   has   also   attracted above-average   foreign   direct   investment   (FDI)   of   9.8%   of   GDP   in   2016,   the CAD   is   pushing   up   the   already   high   external   debt.
Remittances   to Georgia   up   20.1% y/y   in   July
Remittances   to   Georgia   increased   by   20.1%   y/y   to   $120.9mn   in   July,   the country's   central   bank   said   in   a   report   issued   on   August   15.
The   sums   are   an   important   source   of   revenue   for   many   Georgians   who   are underemployed   or   unemployed   and   rely   on   transfers   from   relatives   working abroad.   Officially,   Georgia's   unemployment   stood   at   12%   in   2015,   but observers   believe   that   as   much   as   half   of   the   workforce   is   underemployed   and engaged   in   either   subsistence   agriculture   or   small   business   ownership.
In   2015   and   early   2016,   remittances   dropped   as   a   result   of   a   depreciation   of the   Russian   ruble   and   Turkish   lira   and   the   economic   slowdown   in   Russia   and
21       GEORGIA  Country  Report   October  2017                                                                                                                                                                                             www.intellinews.com


































































































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