Page 9 - MEOG Week 09 2023
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MEOG                                     POLICY & SECURITY                                            MEOG


       Subsidies hit record high $1 trillion in 2022





        SUBSIDIES        ACCORDING to the International Energy  fuel subsidies were $5.9 trillion, or 6.8% of GDP,
                         Agency (IEA), worldwide subsidies for fossil fuel  and were expected to climb to 7.4% of GDP in
                         consumption increased dramatically in 2022,  2025 as the share of fuel consumption in emerg-
                         surpassing $1 trillion for the first time.  ing markets – where price gaps are generally
                           This surge in subsidies was caused by energy  larger – continued to rise. Just 8% of the 2020
                         market turbulence, which led to international  subsidy reflected undercharging for supply costs
                         fuel prices soaring well above what many con-  (explicit subsidies) and 9% for undercharging for
                         sumers paid. Consumption subsidies are energy  environmental costs and foregone consumption
                         price cuts for consumers, for example setting  taxes (implicit subsidies).
                         fixed prices of retail gasoline.       The IEA has been monitoring fossil fuel
                           The 2022 subsidies, driven by the global  subsidies for many years, identifying situations
                         energy crisis resulting from Russia’s invasion of  where consumers pay less than the market price
                         Ukraine, were twice the levels seen in 2021 and  of fuel. Preliminary estimates for 2022 indicated
                         almost five times those in 2020. This is according  that oil subsidies increased by around 85%,
                         to the IEA in a just published report, Fossil Fuel  while subsidies for natural gas and electricity
                         Consumption Subsidies 2022.          consumption more than doubled, said the new
                           However, the IEA found that the government  report.
                         measures taken to protect consumers were not   Governments worldwide implemented var-
                         well-targeted, and although they may have  ious measures to mitigate the worst effects of
                         helped to alleviate the impact of skyrocketing  the energy crisis, such as fixing end-user tariffs,
                         costs, they artificially maintained the competi-  capping fuel or electricity price increases, and
                         tiveness of fossil fuels compared with low-emis-  introducing price ceilings. However, many sub-
                         sions alternatives.                  sidy reform programmes were interrupted, and
                           The finding of the report underlines the prob-  some countries extended existing subsidies.
                         lem of governments dealing with high fuel infla-  Nearly all of the consumption subsidies
                         tion, while still trying to encourage the energy  identified were found in emerging and devel-
                         transition. The fossil fuel spending by world  oping economies, with over half in fossil-fuel
                         governments in 2022 – not just consumption  exporting countries. While most interventions
                         subsidies but total spending – was more than  in advanced economies did not meet the defi-
                         twice the total investment in renewable energy  nition of fossil fuel consumption subsidies, they
                         sources, according to BloombergNEF.  were still a significant drain on fiscal resources,
                           These rising consumption subsidies indeed  with over $500bn in extra spending committed
                         contrast sharply with the Glasgow Climate Pact,  to reducing energy bills in 2022.
                         which called for countries to phase out inefficient   The IEA logged various ways of fixing prices
                         fossil fuel subsidies while providing targeted  or capping price increases.
                         support to the poorest and most vulnerable.  The Peruvian government decided in April
                           The November 2021 Glasgow Climate Pact  2022 to temporarily include a number of trans-
                         effectively proposed to accelerate efforts to close  port fuels in the State Fuel Price Stabilisation
                         the 2030 emissions gap by asking countries to  Fund to reduce the rise in prices. Thailand intro-
                         align their commitments with Paris Agree-  duced a diesel price cap of THB30 ($0.85) per
                         ment goals and with a just transition to net zero,  litre.
                         according to the World Resources Institute.  El Salvador introduced price caps for gasoline
                           The pact called on countries to “phase out  and diesel products. Egypt extended the period
                         … inefficient fossil fuel subsidies, while provid-  for subsidising electricity, while it had previously
                         ing targeted support to the poorest and most  been planning to stop doing so by the end of the
                         vulnerable”.                         fiscal year 2021-2022.
                           The IEA found that oil subsidies grew by   France enacted a ‘tariff shield’ that ini-
                         around 85%, while natural gas and electricity  tially froze electricity and gas retail tariffs for
                         consumption subsidies more than doubled. As  households and then limited the possibility for
                         noted in the latest IEA’s World Energy Outlook,  increases in price.
                         high fossil fuel prices were the main reason for   Exemptions from various taxes and levies
                         upward pressure on global electricity prices,  were common. The South African government
                         accounting for 90% of the rise in the average  froze the general fuel levy on petrol and diesel
                         costs of electricity generation worldwide. Natu-  from February 2022, and reduced it by ZAR1.50
                         ral gas alone accounted for more than 50%.  ($0.9) per litre from April to June 2022.
                           The IEA only looked at consumption subsi-  Guyana removed the excise tax on gasoline
                         dies and did not account for production subsi-  and diesel in March. The United Kingdom cut
                         dies, such as tax breaks or direct payments that  fuel duty, and Belgium reduced the VAT on elec-
                         reduce the cost of producing fossil fuels.  tricity bills from 21% to 6%.
                           As long ago as 2020, before the current rise   Easing payment terms or banning disconnec-
                         in consumption subsidies, the International  tions were also in evidence. Japan eased gas and
                         Monetary Fund (IMF) found that global fossil  electricity payment terms for those struggling



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