Page 7 - DMEA Week 06 2021
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DMEA                                         COMMENTARY                                               DMEA










































                         December using Mapna Drilling Co.’s MD-1  Trump in the US improving confidence about
                         drilling rig, which was installed at the SPD11B  Washington’s potential return to the negotiating
                         location in early November. The 2,200-tonne  table, Iranian oil exports have been rising.
                         unit is carrying out a programme of drilling 12   While the increases have been modest, with
                         appraisal and development wells as Petropars  Bloomberg quoting various industry sources as
                         seeks to achieve a daily production capacity of  saying that the gains are around 30,000-50,000
                         1bn cubic feet (28 mcm) per day of sour gas from  barrels per day (bpd), they represent greater
                         the project.                         confidence on behalf of buyers, though covert
                           The SPD11B wells will be drilled in two  practices continue to be employed to maintain
                         stages. The first phase will comprise the drilling  a lack of clarity about sales.
                         and completion of five appraisal or development   Given China’s history of working around
                         wells and installation of the SPD11B platform,  the sanctions to continue buying Iranian oil, it
                         targeting an initial production level of 500mn  would be unsurprising if sales had expanded,
                         cubic feet (14 mcm) per day.         while Bloomberg quoted a trader as saying that
                           Thereafter, a further seven development wells  Iranian flows had ticked upwards.
                         will be drilled and completed to increase gas   Last week, the chairman of state-run Hindu-
                         recovery from the platform to 28 mcm per day.  stan Petroleum Corp. Ltd (HPCL) said Indian
                           Tehran intends to expand total South Pars  refiners would resume imports of Iranian oil if
                         production to 1 bcm per day as soon as possible.  the US eased sanctions against Tehran.
                           Onshore, Meshkinfam said that the first train   “Iranian crude had been in the [import] bas-
                         of the phase 14 refinery would come into opera-  ket of Indian refineries ... we will be happy to take
                         tion soon after March 20, with new trains inau-  that crude as and when the situation warrants
                         gurated every quarter until the facility reaches  and the crude is available,” MK Surana told a
                         full operational capacity by March 2022.   news conference.
                                                                India was second only to China as an
                         Oil exports                          importer of Iranian crude prior to a tightening
                         While gas production has been on an upward  of US sanctions by the Trump administration in
                         trajectory throughout the past decade, feeding  mid-2019.
                         increasing domestic demand, oil output has been   Surana reportedly added that Iran was previ-
                         far more susceptible to political interference  ously offering favourable terms for payment and
                         from abroad.                         freight discounts among others, which made its
                           However, as MEOG have covered extensively  oil “preferential” compared to other grades.
                         in recent months, Iranian oil production has   After stopping purchases from Iran, Indian
                         increased following major efforts by local firms  refiners diversified their crude imports. “There
                         to achieve the ambitious targets set when Tehran  are alternatives in the picture after that [intro-
                         anticipated swathes of foreign investment in its  duction of sanctions]. Now US crude is coming
                         hydrocarbon sectors in 2015-17.      to India,” Surana added. India is the world’s third
                           With the end of the presidency of Donald  biggest oil importer and consumer. ™



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