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P. 1683

U.S. PUBLIC FINANCE


                                 DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE:
                                 For contingent pledges, there is no upward notching for this analytic element. Where the available revenue
                                 for debt service is significantly more limited than the school district’s revenue, we typically assess debt
                                 service coverage on a current and forward-looking basis. One downward notch is typical for this analytic
                                 element where debt service coverage is assessed and expected to be near or below 1.1x. More than one
                                 downward notch will likely be applied where debt service coverage is assessed and expected to be below
                                 1.0x, in the absence of other mitigants.

                                 OTHER FACTORS:
                                 We also consider risks in the structural features of the obligation that are not already reflected in the issuer
                                 rating or other analytic elements. If the risks are material, cumulative notching may reflect one or more
                                 additional downward notches, depending on the severity of the risks.

                                 Essentiality

                                 For contingent leases and moral obligation pledges, the essentiality of the underlying assets or financed
                                 project to the school district’s core operations is a major consideration. We consider essentiality to be a
                                 strong indicator of a school district’s incentive to appropriate funds for lease payments.


                                 While essentiality falls on a continuum, we typically classify it in two categories. We generally consider an
                                 asset or project that is critical to K-12 core operations or administration as more essential (e.g., construction
                                 of school buildings, capital improvements on school buildings and financing of equipment that directly
                                 supports operations). In these cases, the asset or project also cannot be separated from the school district
                                 (is not severable) and has no commercial or enterprise risk. With more essential assets, there is no notching
                                 for the essentiality consideration.

                                 Less essential assets or projects are not critical to K-12 core operations or administration, are severable, or
                                 have commercial or enterprise risk, e.g., an economic development project or a project that depends on
                                 vendor performance. In these cases, a future administration may no longer choose to support the project,
                                 appropriate funds for debt service, or repair the asset following an abatement event. In these cases, there
                                 are typically one or more downward notches for the essentiality consideration.


                                 The exhibit below provides a summary of typical notching for the essentiality consideration. Actual notching
                                 is based on our view of the circumstances of the school district, the terms and conditions of the obligation
                                                                                           32
                                 and the school district’s incentives or disincentives to honor the obligation.  If there is a mix of more and
                                 less essential assets associated with an individual instrument or master lease structure, we generally
                                 characterize the essentiality of the entire asset pool by the single most essential asset.





















        32    For example, a change in state law that weakens a school district’s incentive to provide pre-K education could diminish the essentiality of a lease tied to
          pre-K operations.



        43   JANUARY 26, 2021                                                    RATING METHODOLOGY: US K–12 PUBLIC SCHOOL DISTRICTS
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