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Twelve-month versus lifetime expected credit losses



     ECLs reflect management’s expectations of shortfalls in the collection of contractual cash flows. Twelve-month ECL is the
     portion of lifetime ECLs associated with the possibility of a loan defaulting in the next 12 months. It is not the expected
     cash shortfalls over the next 12 months but the effect of the entire credit loss on a loan over its lifetime, weighted by
     the probability that this loss will occur in the next 12 months. It is also not the credit losses on loans that are forecast to
     actually default in the next 12 months. If an entity can identify such loans or a portfolio of such loans that are expected
     to have increased significantly in credit risk since initial recognition, lifetime ECLs are recognized.

     Lifetime ECLs are an expected present value measure of losses that arise if a borrower defaults on its obligation
     throughout the life of the loan. They are the weighted average credit losses with the probability of default as the weight.
     Because ECLs also factor in the timing of payments, a credit loss (or cash shortfall) arises even if the bank expects to be
     paid in full but later than when contractually due.











                                                        Expected
                                                       Credit Loss

























































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