Page 165 - Technology Roadmap Transportation
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TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP: TRANSPORTATION





                               2.0

                               INDIAN vs. GLOBAL

                               TRENDS: CHALLENGES

                               AND OPPORTUNITIES





                              Shipping is a complex and volatile industry. The   demand in the shipping market since 2002. This
                              industry is cyclical by nature and has experienced   has resulted in unprecedented contracting of
                              many peaks and troughs in the past. World   new tonnage, boosting the order book for new
                              economic growth and the demand for seaborne   vessels’ construction by as much as 500%. With
                              transport are closely linked. A general observation   the financial crisis of 2008, the world trade started
                              is that during periods of low world Gross   shrinking dramatically. The vessels that were
                              Domestic Product (GDP) growth, the volume of   ordered during the market boom are now being
                              seaborne trade shrinks and vice-versa. This volatility  delivered, adding to the current tonnage. Naturally
                              in the shipping industry creates a potential for high   this created a substantial oversupply of tonnage
                              profits, but also for considerable losses as shown in  in the market, which inevitably led to depressed
                              fig 2.1 and 2.2 below.                    freight rates and weak markets in general.

                              2.1 GLOBAL TRENDS                         The current reduced level of world economic
                              Globalisation and rapid development of Asian   growth, coinciding with overcapacity in the global
                              economies has led to a great deal of added   fleet, has led to the shipping industry currently
               FIG 2.1: THE OECD INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION INDEX AND INDICES FOR WORLD GDP, MERCHANDISE TRADE AND
                    Figure 1.1.1 The OECD Industrial Production Index and indices for world GDP, merchandise trade
               SEABORNE SHIPMENTS (1975-2014) (BASE YEAR 1990 =100); [1]
                    and seaborne shipments (1975-2014) (base year 1990 =100); [1]
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