Page 37 - stanochny park
P. 37

SUCCESS SECRET                                                                                 SUCCESS SECRET

 and  other  technologies  occupy  a  more                the recession will be serious in the USA, smaller in
 prominent  place  in  our  lives.  How will  this        the European Union, and small in China. However,
 affect the labor market?                                 a global recession is inevitable. It will undermine
 Antonio  Fallico:  The  current  period  of  self-       opportunities  for  economic  recovery  that  are
 isolation through which many countries go to             export-oriented. This also applies to Russia, whose
 one degree or another has shown the increasing           large share of GDP consists of oil and gas industry
 role of digital technology. This is remote work          products, which operate to a large extent on foreign
 from  home,  and  distance  learning,  and  the          markets. Part of its economic indicators will directly
 expansion  of  all kinds  of  digital services  and      depend on the restoration of external demand for
 activities. After the completion of the coronacrisis,    these products.
 the extreme manifestations of this new reality will
 fade into the background, but some will remain                  How do you evaluate the measures taken by
 in everyday  life.  For  example,  I  personally                   the government and the Bank of Russia?
 do  not  believe  in  the  great  effectiveness  of
 distance learning: the quality of education that                    Antonio  Fallico:  Russia  is ready  for  the
 it provides is clearly lower. It’s like in the past                 current  difficult  economic  trials,  this
 full-time and distance learning. But, apparently,                   is obvious. Comparison,  for  example,
 distance  learning  with appropriate  technologies  will           with August 1998  is inappropriate.  The
 be more widely represented than at the beginning of the            existence  of  the  EAEU market,  with 180
 current  school  year. Robotization  of  production  using         million  people, can  also be  considered
 increasingly innovative technologies, which increases             a  stabilizing  factor  for  the  participating
 labor productivity, also began not today. As a result,           countries. The Russian authorities, both state
 unfortunately, many will lose their jobs. It is clear that     and financial, are taking the right measures
 this  will  open  jobs  in  other  industries  and  fields  of   to  support  business,  relying,  inter  alia,  on
                                                              the  capabilities of  the  National  Wealth  Fund.
 activity. This happened   However,  glitches are evident  between  the  right decisions and  their  implementation.  Credit
 before, at every stage of   vacations, various types of assistance, and even difficulties in donating blood plasma to people
 the industrial revolution.   who have been ill from the coronavirus, have identified a bottleneck: sometimes outdated, and
 How  many  new  jobs   sometimes, not corresponding to the severity of the moment, bureaucratic practice. We will
 will appear?  And what   have to seriously work on this.
 about unskilled labor?
 To what extent do new
 activities  compensate,
 possibly for the massive
 loss of work as a result
 of robotization?


 How   will   the
 social   structure   of
 society change?


 This  raises
 another  question.
 Production products that have become more efficient and productive as a result of robotics,
 who will buy? People who lost their jobs? Or will goods and services in the future world be
 fundamentally  different  in  quality  and,  accordingly,  in  price?  As  a  result  of  a  technological
 breakthrough, social stratification and inequality will increase even more in such a parameter as
 the quality of consumption? Therefore, I repeat, a fundamentally different system of organizing
 the economy and society is needed. In the center should be a man. Then the robotics with
 digitalization will be put at his service, and not vice versa.


 How do you see the socio-economic situation of Russia and the EAEU after the pandemic?

 Antonio Fallico: The world is entering a period of serious recession. What will be its
 depth depends both on the speed of overcoming medical problems, and on the effectiveness
 of economic support measures adopted by various states. By the way, the role of the state
 in the economy has increased significantly in recent weeks. I wouldn’t use specific numbers;
 they  are  different  and  based  on  different  methods.  But  in  general,  it  can  be  assumed  that         Rg.ru


 36  Stanochniy park                                                                            Stanochniy park      37
   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40