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The Economist December 9th 2017                                                   Finance and economics 77

        Free exchange              Paying no mind





        Digital distractions hurtwell-being, ifnoteconomicgrowth
                                                             Could this explain the rich world’s productivity slowdown?
                                                           In a paperpublished in 2007, Sinan Aral and ErikBrynjolfsson, of
                                                           the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and Marshall Van Al-
                                                           styne, of Boston University, analysed firms’ use of information
                                                           technology and its effects on labour productivity and revenue
                                                           growth. Theyfound an inverted U-shape pattern associated with
                                                           multitasking and productivity. An initial increase in multitasking
                                                           from the increased use ofIT seems to raise productivity. But later,
                                                           the accumulation ofballs to be juggled reducesperformance and
                                                           increases the incidence oferror.
                                                             IT does help workers in all sorts of ways. It speeds communi-
                                                           cation and allows documents to be shared remotely. The web
                                                           makes finding information far simpler and quicker than it was in
                                                           a world of paper archives. Productivity surged in the late 1990s
                                                           and early 2000s as e-mail, digital databases and the web spread.
                                                           The benefits technology brought, at that time, seemed to out-
                                                           weigh the cost ofdistraction. Since the mid-2000s, however, pro-
                                                           ductivity growth has tumbled, perhaps because the burden of
                                                           distraction has crossed some critical threshold.
                                                             But this is surely not the whole story. Performance across in-
                                                           dustries does not fit very well with the idea that distraction is the
           OR many it is a reflex as unconscious as breathing. Hit a stum-  main cause of weak productivity. Over the past decade, labour-
        Fbling-block during an important task (like, say, writing a col-  productivitygrowth in both manufacturingand construction has
        umn)? The hand reaches for the phone and opens the social net-  been particularly disappointing—and the problem can hardly be
        workofchoice. Abluroftime passes, and halfan hour ormore of  deskjockeys fritteringaway time on Pinterest.
        what ought to have been productive effort is gone. Afeeling ofre-  Weakproductivityisalso a consequence ofthe reallocation of
        gretisquicklydisplaced bythe urge to see what hashappened on  workers from industries with relatively high rates of growth to
        Twitter in the past 15 seconds. Some time after the deadline, the  more stagnant ones. In America health care and education,
        editoraskswhen exactlyto expectthe promised copy. Distraction  where labour productivity is persistently low, account for more
        is a constant these days; supplying it is the business model of  than halfoftotal employment growth since 2000.
        some of the world’s most powerful firms. As economists search  How then to reconcile evidence ofthe toll taken by new tech-
        forexplanationsforsaggingproductivity, some are asking wheth-  nologies with the difficulty in detecting a productivity cost? One
        erthe inability to focus forlongerthan a minute is to blame.   possibilityisthatfirmshave notbeen asstrenuousas mightbe ex-
                                                           pected in maximising output per worker. Employment does not
              This column will resume after you have returned from   fall much in response to minimum-wage risesbecause output per
              checking your notifications                   worker goes up. That is partly because workers try harder and
                                                           partly because firms, faced with a new cost, focus more on track-
           The technological onslaught has been a long time building.  ing worker performance. Similarly, productivity leapt in the im-
        Bossesno doubtfound the knockofthe telegraph boyor the clack  mediate aftermath of the financial crisis, and not because firms
        of the ticker-tape machine an abominable interruption. Fixed-  laid off less productive workers. Rather, workers appear to have
        line deskphoneswere an intrusion in theirday, before the mobile  upped theirgame to convince bossesnotto sackthem. After a de-
        phone brought work interruptions into the home. But the web is  cade oflow wages and high profits, firms may be feeling compla-
        different, with its unending news cycle, social networks hum-  cent. That, and their consequent failure to invest, may be a better
        ming with constant conversation, and news feeds algorithmi-  explanation ofweakproductivity than workers’ distraction.
        cally structured to keep users scrolling and sharing. The louder
        the din, the greater the distraction—and the harder to tune it out  Tweet dreams are made ofthis
        forfearofmissingimportant information.             Whether or not brains fried by constant interruption are slowing
           Distractions clearly affect performance on the job. In a recent  growth, the digital deluge takes a toll. Mr Nixon reckons that dis-
        essay, Dan Nixon of the Bank of England pointed to a mass of  tracted workers become less empathetic, a serious side-effect in
        compelling evidence that they could also be eating into produc-  an economy where human connections with customers are cast
        tivity growth. Depending on the study you pick, smartphone-us-  as a defence against automation. Distraction also appears to re-
        ers touch their device somewhere between twice a minute to  duce reported happiness, and that effect may be magnified if it
        once every seven minutes. Conducting tasks while receiving e-  means that fewer tasks are completed to the workers’ satisfac-
        mails and phone calls reduces a worker’s IQ by about ten points  tion—orifthe source ofthe distraction isanotherdistressing news
        relative to working in uninterrupted quiet. That is equivalent to  alert. So this is yet another reason to yearn for a truly tight labour
        losing a night’s sleep, and twice as debilitating as using marijua-  market: when firms cannot spare an idle moment they might get
        na. By one estimate, it takes nearly half an hour to recover focus  seriousabouttrimmingproductivity-sappingintrusionsfrom the
        fully for the task at hand after an interruption. What’s more, Mr  workplace, to everyone’s benefit. Right, time fora tweet. 7
        Nixon notes, constant interruptions accustom workers to distrac-
        tion, teachingthem, in effect, to lose focus and seekdiversions.  Economist.com/blogs/freeexchange
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