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16.3 Using relative frequency



               5  Two types of rechargeable battery are tested to see how long they will last.

                                                  At least 5 but    At least 10 but    At least 15 but
                     Time (hours)    Up to 5
                                                   less than 10      less than 15     less than 20
                       Battery A        6              12                16               12

                      Battery B         18             20                15               12

                  a  For each type of battery, estimate the probability that it lasts:
                      i  15 hours or more     ii  less than 10 hours.
                  b  Which battery lasts longer? Give a reason for your answer.

                6  A shop sells three makes of computer. This table    Make                 Solong   HQ    Tooloo
                  shows how many were faulty within one year.
                  a   Estimate the probability that each make will    Number sold            420     105     681
                     be faulty.
                  b   The shop started to stock a new brand, called    Faulty within one year  28    19      32
                     Dill computers. It sold 63, but 7 were faulty
                     within a year. How does this make compare to the others?

               7  Lynn planted three packets of seeds. The table shows how many germinated.
                    Packet of seeds            Type A      Type B     Type C                A seed germinates when

                    Number of seeds              24          38         19                  it starts to grow.
                    Number that germinated       17          21         16

                 Which type is the most likely to germinate? Give a reason for your answer.
               8   In archery you score up to 10 points for each    Score            10    9     8    Fewer than 8
                  arrow. In a competion you shoot 60 arrows.
                 The table shows the results for one competitor.   First 20 arrows    8    5     5         2
                  a   Find the probability of scoring 9 or 10,     Last 40 arrows    27    4     5         4
                     using:
                      i  the first 20 arrows   ii  all 60 arrows.
                  b   Did the competitor become more accurate as the competition went
                     on? Give a reason for your answer.

               Summary

                You should now know that:                          You should be able to:

                +   If outcomes are mutually exclusive then only one   +   Know that the sum of probabilities of all mutually
                   of them can happen.                                exclusive outcomes is 1 and use this when solving
                +   If a list of mutually exclusive outcomes covers all   probability problems.
                   possible cases, then the probabilities add up to   +   Record and find all outcomes for two successive
                   one.                                               events in a sample space diagram.
                +   You cannot always find probabilities by using   +   Understand relative frequency as an estimate of
                   equally likely outcomes.                           probability and use this to compare outcomes of
                +   You can use relative frequency to estimate        experiments in a range of contexts.
                   probability.                                    +   Check results by considering whether the answer
                                                                      is reasonable in the context of the problem.



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