Page 22 - 201902 SCA February 2019 Volume 56 Number 1
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Technical ARTICLE


                     Is your Tio  Supply Strategy sustainable?
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                     By Joe Maas, The ChemQuest Group, Inc.
                     This article was previously published in Coatings World, July 2018 Vol 23, No. 07.
                     Reprinted by permission of Coatings World. www.coatingsworld.com
                          With over 30 years of experience working in the titanium dioxide industry,
                          ChemQuest Director Joe Maas’s knowledge spans TiO 2     technologies and substitutes,
                          global supply logistics (including channels/distribution), end uses, customers
                          and regulations. In this issue of Surface Coatings Australia, Joe Maas shares his
                          perspective on the global TiO 2  supply/demand trends and drivers that are likely to
                          affect paint and coatings’ stakeholders through 2020.


                     1.   Hypothetically speaking, how would the     Over the past 100 years, approximately 300
                        absence of titanium dioxide affect humanity?  million metric tons of TiO  have been produced
                                                                                         2
                     Admittedly, titanium dioxide pigment (TiO ) is not   and consumed. TiO  has positively impacted the
                                                                                     2
                                                      2
                     as essential to human life as oxygen and water,   lives of nearly every man, woman and child in the
                     given that humans managed to survive without it   industrialized world and remains one of the safest
                     until the 20th Century. Since its inception, however,   and most useful materials ever developed. For many
                     TiO  – comprising properties that extend the    such reasons, I believe it is essential.
                        2
                     lifecycle of thousands of products – has become an
                     integral part of modern life. Less measurable but   2.  Which end uses consume the most TiO ?
                                                                                                           2
                     equally important to our quality of life, colors could   Annual global TiO  demand is estimated to be over 6
                                                                                   2
                     not be properly developed without TiO  – which   million metric tons split among key end-use markets.
                                                   2
                     would detract from the beauty of our world, making   As Figure 1 depicts, sixty percent of the annual
                     it less vibrant, drab and dull; unquestionably, a   global demand is consumed by paints and coatings,
                     somber place. Practically speaking, pharmaceutical   followed by plastics at twenty-five percent.
                     colorants with TiO  facilitate a patient’s ability to
                                   2
                     distinguish between pills and medications.      3.  How would you describe TiO ’s current
                                                                                                  2
                                                                        market dynamics?
                                                                     Assessing the current global TiO  market requires
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                                                                     some background on the 2008/09 economic
                                                                     crisis. Following the worldwide economic collapse,
                                                                     TiO  production was severely curtailed, with
                                                                        2
                                                                     producers slashing capacity and postponing
                                                                     plant expansions. In recovering economies, TiO
                                                                                                            2
                                                                     supplies struggled to meet a pent-up demand
                                                                     for the products formulated with TiO , quickly
                                                                                                   2
                                                                     depleting producer inventories. The ensuing
                                                                     shortage drove prices up to near historical highs.
                                                                     The turning point came in mid-2012: growing
                                                                     supply coupled with waning demand ended the
                                                                     TiO  shortage. For the next three-and-a-half years,
                                                                        2
                                                                     prices plummeted nearly to pre-recession levels,
                                                                     as shown on Figure 2.
                     Figure 1:  TiO  by End Use Market.              Beginning in mid-2016, demand picked up
                              2
                     Source: The ChemQuest Group, Inc.               when the Chinese government cracked down on
                                                                     highly polluting (mostly small) TiO  operations,
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                                                                     which severely decreased supply. In early 2017,
           Author Profile                                            Huntsman’s Pori Finland plant (~130,000 metric
                                                                     ton capacity) suffered a catastrophic fire that
           Joe Maas is a director at The                             further curtailed TiO  supply, driving up prices
                                                                                      2
           ChemQuest Group Inc. and ChemQuest                        worldwide. Between 2017 and 2018, quarterly
           Technology Institute. For more                            price increases were passed through the supply
           information, visit www.chemquest.com
                                                                     chain, albeit this successful price pass-through
                                                                     may be short lived as the preceding inventory
                                                                     shortfall continues to be offset, not only by
                                                                     increased Chinese capacity, but by overall
                                                                     increases in global production through 2019.



     20 Journal of Surface Coatings Australia • February 2019
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