Page 53 - Ultimate Guide to Currency Trading
P. 53

spoken about on news sources such as CNBC and Bloomberg. As you can see, the idea of where the
                 interest rate for a currency is heading is key to making good trades.



                 More Currency Fundamentals


                 There are three forms of currency management that a central bank can undertake to regulate and
                 control its home currency. One method is to forcibly link the value of the home currency to the value
                 of a stronger currency. This method is called pegging and is done in many developing countries, such
                 as those in Latin America and Asia. When a currency is pegged to another, its exchange rate is fixed.
                 Not only that, but its growth rate and volume of money in circulation can also be related to the like
                 amounts in the other country's economy. This is true because the home country's money value will be
                 related  to  other  currencies  in  the  same  up-and-down  fashion  as  the  movement  of  the  assumed
                 currency.

                        For example, China has long pegged its currency's exchange rate to the U.S. dollar. This means
                 that the Chinese yuan is always the same value of a certain number of U.S. dollars. Since the value of
                 the two is fixed, if the value of the USD goes down against the EUR, the value of the Chinese yuan will
                 go down against the value of the EUR by the same amount. This technique of pegging the Chinese
                 yuan to the USD has worked especially well for the Chinese economy. This is partially because the USD
                 is the largest currency in volume of all the traded currencies in the world (over 62 percent in 2010) as
                 reported on the Bank for International Settlements website (www.bis.org/ publ/rpfx10t.htm).




                               Some  currencies  are  managed  in  a  monitored  float  that  is  similar  to  one  that  is
                               pegged. The difference is that the currency is constantly adjusted to the benefit of the
                               home  country.  A  committee  will  usually  adjust  the  rate  of  exchange  up  or  down
                    Essential    according to the home country's immediate needs. This is often called a "dirty float."





                        Many people believe that the reason the USD/CNY peg has worked so well for the Chinese
                 economy is that the peg has historically been set at an artificially low rate, which in turn, many believe,
                 has helped make China more competitive in the world market. This is one example of an effective use
                 of a pegged currency.

                 Dollarization


                 The second method of monetary management that central banks can put into place is a method of
                 dollarization. This is the method where a country's central bank gives up all control of its currency to
                 the  point  of  adopting  the  currency  of  another  nation.  The  home  country  will  usually  adopt  the
                 currency  of  a  neighbor  that  is  a  heavy-trading  partner  and  has  a  history  of  economic  stability.
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