Page 78 - Ultimate Guide to Currency Trading
P. 78

2. Enter in the symbol you are seeking data for in the "Get Quotes" box. In this case enter "FXE," the
                 Currency Shares Euro Trust ETF.

                 3. Click on "Historical Prices" to the left of FXE's market information.

                 4. On the "Set Date Range," pick a date at least four and a half years in the past.


                 5. Select "Daily," and then click "Get Prices."

                 6. At the bottom of the webpage click on the line "Download to Spread-sheet," then "Save" to your
                 desktop, and label "Table_FXE."



                        Continue steps two through five with the other ETFs you are gathering data points for, making
                 sure to label each one with the appropriate ETF symbol before saving. After you have saved all of your
                 ETF historical price data to your desktop, open each file, and click "Save as Excel Work-book." This will
                 create  a  workable  Excel  copy  of  the  downloaded  data  that  you  can  manipulate  later.  Delete  the
                 original Excel files, leaving only the newly saved documents. In this example you should have created a
                 total of eight MS Excel tables, all with the different ETF labels. Perform steps two through five and the
                 "Save as Excel Workbook" for your target currency pair, or in this case AUD/USD, which is tracked by
                 the proxy ETF FXA.



                 Adding Formulas for Meaningful Data Points

                 Now begins the tricky part: you will begin using MS Excel formulas to find the percentage change of
                 each indicator ETF's close from  the day before. For this example, open your FXE workbook. In the
                 blank column next to the "Adj. Close" column, type in this formula: = ($G2- $G3)/$G3.

                        Copy the formula down the entire column of data by clicking on the cell with the first formula,
                 grabbing the "cross-hairs" in the corner with the left button of your mouse, and dragging down to the
                 end of the column of data, all while holding down the left button of your mouse. The "$" signs keep
                 the  formula's  cells  relative  to  each  other.  After  this  is  completed,  change  the  entire  column  to
                 percentage to a few decimal places. This is achieved by clicking on the "%" and then the 0.00 buttons
                 at the top of your Excel workbook.

                        By using this formula, copying it down, and converting  to percent-age, you have created a
                 listing of the change in the percentage movements in FXE from one day's closing price to the next
                 day's closing price. These percentages will serve as the "Data Points" of your system and will become
                 the  inputs  in  your  regression  analysis.  Follow  along  with  the  instructions  for  all  of  your  ETF  Excel
                 workbooks separately, all the while making sure that the first date of the data is the same on all of the
                 spreadsheets.
   73   74   75   76   77   78   79   80   81   82   83