Page 82 - Ultimate Guide to Currency Trading
P. 82

Different News, Different FX Pairs

                 It is important to trade the FX pair that is in the news during that time. Movement in the market is
                 what allows you to make money. A nonmoving or stagnant currency pair will only tie up cash with no
                 gains, all while still having that amount of cash at risk. You will do well to trade with a long and a short
                 time horizon, but above all, trade the news. Trading the news is the process of scouting for setups, or
                 opportunities to make money in the market. Looking for setups is your currency trading job while you
                 are not actually in a trade.

                         It is possible to look for an appropriate and profitable setup for days before one develops that
                 has  your  risk  tolerance  and  an  appropriate  return  potential.  In  fact,  the  scouting  for  setups  is  the
                 process of keeping your money safe and not in a trade, and allowing yourself to trade only when you
                 have a very certain chance of getting your money back intact, along with a profit for your risk taking
                 You  should  get  to  the  point  where  you  actually  prefer  to  be  in  cash,  and  not  in  a  trade.  Only
                 begrudgingly should you enter into a trade, and only if the setup offers a reasonable chance of profit.




                            It is possible to build a short-term trading system for maximum safety by being in cash
                            over 90 percent of the trading week and be in a trade less than 10 percent of the time.
                            This  equates  to  about  twenty-four  ultrashort-term  trades  a  week.  Limiting  your  cash
                            exposure to the market can keep your account safe and secure!




                        If  you  are  going  into  a  trading  week,  look  for  points  that  might  develop  into  trading
                 opportunities.  If  you  find  them  before  the  week  starts,  (if  you  spend  an  early  Saturday  morning
                 reviewing charts and fundamentals), that is good. Sometimes, however, things can change (for the
                 better!) and a clearer directional trade will present itself. You would then switch gears and change
                 your focus and money to the new FX pair that is in the news.

                        At  any  time  during  the  trading  week,  information  regarding  economies  and  the  currencies
                 those economies affect will be in the news. Not only that, but the news story that you have been
                 following  over  the  weekend  and  into  the  beginning  of  Monday  and  Tuesday  might  fall  out  of
                 importance as a bigger story in a different country or part of the world develops. You might have been
                 following the first story in your broker's reports and on the news wire, and may have been getting
                 ready for a chance to enter the market on the winning side of that trade.

                         It might be that the Hungarian forint is gaining too much value against the Swiss franc. A story
                 might be developing that  the  HUF is just about to  change direction  against the CHF.  Upon further
                 examination, you determine that the CHF/HUF is at the top of its 200-day moving average. Not only
                 that, you determine that there is a resistance point at the current trading level, and that volume has
                 been building. Under these circumstances, a small, highly leveraged, long-term trade would be your
                 preference, and you begin to look to entering the trade later on in the week.
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