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Regional Security Forecast: Headlines 04 Dec 2017 - 10 Dec 2017

        Africa





      This week's headlines



                Rating definitions:  Extreme  High  Medium  Low  Insignificant            Kenya
                                                                                       Continue to avoid all political gatherings
                                                                                       following presidential inauguration

                                                                                          Liberia
                                                                                       Exercise caution on 7 December due to
                                                                                       expected Supreme Court ruling on
                                                                                       electoral irregularity complaint
                                                                                          Togo
                                                                                       Lome, other towns: Avoid further anti-
                                                                                       government protests on 7 December

                                                                                          Congo (DRC)
                                                                                       Kinshasa: Avoid possible gatherings
                                                                                       around military court on 8 December
                                                                                       during trial of suspected militia
                                                                                          Uganda
                                                                                       Avoid political gatherings around age
                                                                                       limit debate

                                                                                          Cameroon
                                                                                       Northwest, Southwest regions: Continue
                                                                                       to exercise caution as Anglophone
                                                                                       activism persists
                                                                                          South Africa
                                                                                       Anticipate heightened security to combat
                                                                                       seasonal rise in crime ahead of
                                                                                       Christmas holiday



      Africa: the week ahead in detail

      Kenya: Continue to avoid all political gatherings following presidential inauguration

                                                                                             Travel risk rating
                                  The Somali-border counties of Wajir, Mandera, Garissa and Lamu; Nairobi; Mombasa; the northern
                                                             counties of Turkana, West Pokot, Samburu, Marsabit and Isiolo
                                                                             We advise restrictions on travel to parts of Kenya.

      Members in Kenya in the coming weeks should continue to avoid all political gatherings due to the persistent potential for unrest in the wake of the
      recent presidential election. Further minor clashes between supporters of the opposition National Super Alliance (NASA) and the ruling Jubilee
      party are possible following the 4 December arrest of key NASA strategist David Ndii on charges of incitement. Unrest is also possible on 12
      December, when defeated NASA leader Raila Odinga plans to hold his own ‘presidential inauguration'.
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